PGA Championship (updated after 3rd round) All prices courtesy of the LVH ODDS TO WIN JIM FURYK 11/4 JASON DUFNER 3/1 HENRIK STENSON 3/1 ADAM SCOTT 7/1 STEVE STRICKER 12/1 JONAS BLIXT 12/1 RORY McILROY 20/1 LEE WESTWOOD 20/1 DUSTIN JOHNSON 60/1 FIELD (all others) ...
Sports 56 – Memphis...
posted by Todd
Manziel, Manziel, Manziel…plenty of other college football talk to keep you entertained. Click here to listen
Christmas in August
posted by Todd
When is too soon to put up lines for future games? According to head of marketing at Betonline the answer is officially never. I had a chance to get a brief interview with Dave Mason who heads up the marketing team for the Panama based sportsbook and he shared some candid responses. “Our players have grown accustom and appreciate the fact that we usually open our odds up before the competition. Since the NBA Christmas Day lineup always gets plenty of attention, we decided why wait? Put the numbers up early and get an early gauge on who the bettors like.” It only makes sense considering bettors expect football numbers to be up months in advance that basketball should be afforded the exact same luxury. As far as limits, well all the big shots out there might just have to wait if they’re itching to fire dimes into the virgin market. You also guessed it, bettors seem to love them some defending champion action especially against a Lakers team who still remains unsure of Kobe’s status. “Not surprising that 80% of the early money is on the Heat minus-5.5 at the Lakers. Right now we are keeping the limits at just $250; we’ll look on raising a little later.” Here are the prices on all 5 holiday clashes Chicago Bulls New Jersey Nets -3 Oklahoma City Thunder -2 New York Knicks Miami Heat -5.5 Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets San Antonio Spurs -4 Los Angeles Clippers Golden State Warriors -3 ...
OTL Podcast: SEC Outlook...
posted by Todd
As the season rolls closer, our podcasts get more informative (at least we’d like to think so). This week we tackled all things SEC; focusing on where we thought it best to look for value in SEC Win totals. I’d be lying if I said there weren’t a few Manziel jokes thrown into the mix but as college football fans everyone should hope he’s on the field for the Aggies season opener against Rice. Love us, hate us…it doesn’t matter but over the course of the 2013 football season our opinions will help make you a few extra coins. Subscribe to the podcast for weekly downloads, now available on itunes My Outkick the Coverage column on Manziel’s impact in the betting...
PGA Championship
posted by Todd
2013 PGA Championship: Glory’s Last Shot Though Phil Mickelson claimed the British Open just 17 days ago, another major is quickly upon us as Oak Hill plays host to the 95th PGA Championship starting Thursday. While it’s often seen as the fourth major in terms of importance or personality, the PGA arguably boasts the year’s best field and has provided no shortage of drama over the past few years. Written by @Fullmarx12 Click here for the complete list of odds Key Factors Though it serves as one of golf’s more venerable layouts, Oak Hill has not been encountered by many of the players in this week’s field prior to this week. It last hosted the PGA Championship in 2003, when longshot Shaun Micheel held on for what remains his lone PGA Tour victory (Oakhill also hosted the U.S. Amateur in 1998). Here are two keys to the Donald Ross layout: Total Driving: This PGA Tour stat combines both driving distance and driving accuracy, both of which will be imperative this week in Rochester. At 7,163 yards, this par-70 course has more than a handful of lengthy holes, notably the 17th and 18th holes, a pair of par-4s that measure 509 yards and 497 yards respectively. So while distance off the tee will be needed to contend, accuracy will be even more important. According to player and media reports, the rough this week is some of the toughest encountered all year, outside of perhaps the U.S. Open. Missed fairways could result in wedges back to the short stuff and accurate driving will be rewarded. Scrambling: While the rough along Oak Hill’s fairways will be penal, the thick stuff around the greens is just brutal. Players will need to control their distances into the greens, as...
Updated PGA Odds
posted by Todd
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP OAK HILL COUNTRY CLUB – ROCHESTER, NEW YORK AUGUST 8-11, 2013 (All odds courtesy of the LVH) ODDS TO WIN: TIGER WOODS 4/1 PHIL MICKELSON 15/1 ADAM SCOTT 15/1 JUSTIN ROSE 25/1 LEE WESTWOOD 25/1 RORY McILROY 30/1 JASON DAY 35/1 BRANDT SNEDEKER 25/1 SERGIO GARCIA 50/1 CHARL SCHWARTZEL 35/1 MATT KUCHAR 30/1 HUNTER MAHAN 30/1 LUKE DONALD 35/1 GRAEME McDOWELL 50/1 DUSTIN JOHNSON 30/1 STEVE STRICKER 50/1 KEEGAN BRADLEY 30/1 JASON DUFNER 35/1 BUBBA WATSON 50/1 RICKIE FOWLER 60/1 ERNIE ELS 60/1 IAN POULTER 50/1 HENRIK STENSON 30/1 WEBB SIMPSON 60/1 ANGEL CABRERA 80/1 ZACH JOHNSON 40/1 NICOLAS COLSAERTS 100/1 MARTIN KAYMER 60/1 BILL HAAS 50/1 JIM FURYK 60/1 BILLY HORSCHEL 100/1 LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN WD JORDAN SPIETH 100/1 PADRAIG HARRINGTON 150/1 NICK WATNEY 100/1 FRANCESCO MOLINARI 125/1 RYAN MOORE 80/1 HIDEKI MATSUYAMA 100/1 THORBJORN OLESEN 150/1 BO VAN PELT 150/1 MATTEO MANASSERO 150/1 BRANDEN GRACE 150/1 MARTIN LAIRD 125/1 TIM CLARK 125/1 FREDDIE JACOBSON 200/1 MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENEZ 125/1 GEOFF OGILVY 125/1 K.J. CHOI 150/1 CARL PETTERSSON 200/1 HARRIS ENGLISH 100/1 BERND WIESBERGER 200/1 GEORGE COETZEE 200/1 RICHARD STERNE 125/1 JONAS BLIXT 200/1 THOMAS BJORN 200/1 RUSSELL HENLEY 200/1 JAMIE DONALDSON 150/1 MARCEL SIEM 250/1 RYAN PALMER 150/1 BOO WEEKLEY 150/1 GRAHAM DeLAET 150/1 GONZALO FERNANDEZ-CASTANO 200/1 KYLE STANLEY 150/1 ROBERT GARRIGUS 250/1 SCOTT PIERCY 250/1 JOHN SENDEN 200/1 DAVID TOMS 250/1 KEVIN STREELMAN 200/1 ALEXANDER NOREN 300/1 PETER HANSON 200/1 Y.E. YANG 250/1 VIJAY SINGH 250/1 MARC LEISHMAN 200/1 CHARLES HOWELL III 200/1 MIKKO ILONEN 300/1 PAUL LAWRIE 250/1 CHRIS WOOD 150/1 JOHN HUH 250/1 BRENDON DE JONGE 200/1 STEWART CINK 200/1 JIMMY WALKER 200/1 BEN CURTIS 250/1 CHARLEY HOFFMAN 150/1 RAFAEL CABRERA BELLO 250/1 DAVID LYNN 250/1 MICHAEL THOMPSON 200/1 SCOTT STALLINGS 200/1 DAVIS LOVE III 250/1 BUD CAULEY DNQ LUKE GUTHRIE 250/1 CHRIS STROUD 250/1 KEN DUKE 300/1...
Football on Your Phone...
posted by Todd
We’ve all come to accept that the Manning family is pretty damn good and whatever they set out to do…but rockstars? Add that to the list of...
Dating a Degenerate
posted by Todd
Our author chose to remain anonymous but clearly you can tell she speaks from firsthand experience after being inspired by this piece. The female psyche is something men don’t often understand but when a girl elects to willingly date (or marry) a degenerate, it gives the rest of us hope and we should cherish her viewpoint. From the outside looking in my life seems pretty normal; great fiancé , healthy baby, nice car, expensive jewelry, beautiful purses and clothes…But those things come with a price; the stress of dating a professional handicapper. Most girls know that guys love sports so they put up with a football game once a week or the occasional baseball/basketball game as the schedule dictates. Boy do they have it easier than me! My schedule (and every daily activity) revolves around sports seasons and more importantly the precise time lines come out. At times it gets beyond aggravating dating a professional; especially when you have to plan your wedding around the most important time of the year, FOOTBALL SEASON!!! Even though my life is constantly filled with craziness I’ve learned ways to “cope.” Rather then complain about his non stop schedule and phone calls, I’ve forced him to include me in his work through teaching so I can help him prep for upcoming sports seasons. Whether it be creating excel sheets, reading articles on specific teams, or more recently actually placing bets when the games of the year came out in June, I’m learning to be supportive of his occupation. Not many girls would be able to stick around this lifestyle once the initial excitement and romance is gone. You come to realize that even though this guy is his own boss, his phone dings incessantly and there are always...
The Best of It
posted by Todd
Prior to kickoff of yesterday’s Hall of Fame Game, I was inspired by some interesting dialogue on twitter that got me thinking. As we all know, there’s a lot of misinformation out there regarding gambling terminology like “getting the best of the number” and what the phrase actually means. The short concise definition of the term is getting the most advantageous price in a given market for your side. For example if you liked Miami last night, betting them +1.5 would have been the top of the market rather than at -3 where the game closed. Conversely, if you liked Dallas betting them -1.5 on the open was a worst case scenario compared to +3 right before the game started. Most of us have been trained to look for the 3,4,6,& 7 in football but there’s a lot more to understanding the concept of getting the best of the number than just that. Each line move, across certain thresholds, changes the expected value of a bet. It’s important to note that every sport is different so the thought process applied to betting football doesn’t apply to basketball where every half pt on both side and total can actually get sharp bettors off a game. When you’re betting football, certain line moves change the way you approach a wager. The line moving from PK to -1 or -1.5 to -2.5 during the regular season (in both college and pro) doesn’t change the handicap a fraction of what -2.5 to -3 or +3.5 to +3 does. Preseason is slightly different given that coaches will do everything they can to avoid a tie score late and also because they may try and work on special teams, 2 pt conversions, or a laundry list of other unique situations....
American Adjustment
posted by Todd
The EPL is coming to NBC Sports Network this fall. Obviously there are sure to be adjustments for the casual fan so this brief training video should go a long...
Preparing for the Preseason...
posted by Todd
You know you’re going to bet it, may as well understand that my advice comes from a good place before you delve into betting meaningless (not to bettors) football games. One thing I didn’t include in the video is discussion of key numbers. Unlike the regular season when 3,4,6 and 7 are drummed into our head, anything between pk and 3 is pivotal this time of year knowing coaches will avoid ties at all costs. Make sure you shop (as always) and don’t take a burnt price post steam. Click here for the most up to date preseason...
3HL in Nashville
posted by Todd
Click here to listen Johnny Manziel Heisman odds, NFL Futures Updates, and Baseball talk among the many featured topics on today’s segment with the boys in Nashville.