The college football podcast that needs no introduction… Having problems with the widget? Follow us on iTunes For all you android users we’re also now on Stitcher so don’t claim we discriminate against any mobile...

Every week in college the final scores don’t tell the full story.  That’s why I’m here to try and help point out some of the statistical nuggets you may have missed in your handicapping. Utah vs UCLA: Utah failed to cover against UCLA on Thursday night and they can blame the 6 interceptions thrown by Travis Wilson.  The most impressive part of his generosity was that 5 of the 6 picks came in the 2nd half. Utah St vs BYU: The biggest thing you wouldn’t know by blindly looking at the boxscore is that USU lost all MWC caliber QB Chuckie Keeton for the season to a knee injury.  His backup Craig Harrison was 4-10 for 26 yards in relief and it’s safe to say the Aggies offense may look very different in coming weeks. San Diego St vs Nevada: The Aztecs had a commanding 44-23 lead headed into the 4th quarter before Cody Fajardo went bonkers in comeback mode.  The game tying drive for the Wolfpack culminated with 1:38 to go in regulation but their upset bid was denied in OT because of penalties.   SDSU was led by a 2-headed rushing monster of Muema/Pumphrey who combined for 248 on only 35 carries. Navy vs Air Force: Navy and Air Force amassed roughly the same amount of yardage but the Middies covered the closing number because of a 21-0 2nd half surge. Navy QB Keenan Reynolds, who was listed as questionable before the game, carried the football 28 times while no other Navy player had more than 8 touches.  The two teams only ran 134 plays with a clock that never stopped but it had nothing to do with the government shutdown. Florida St vs Maryland: There was nothing flukey about FSU’s drubbing of...

Every Monday morning it’s the bookmaker’s rite of passage to tally up the damage (good or bad) from the weekend that was in football.  Every shop that deals primarily to a North American customer base understands that football tells the tale for the entire fiscal year.  Special thanks to the head of marketing from www.betonline.ag Dave Mason for sharing the biggest wins and losses for the sportsbook this past weekend and hopefully for subsequent weeks moving forward.  His quote to me that summed up the weekend needs no paraphrasing “Saturday was bad; Sunday was great.” Also a quick PSA: For every member of the sports betting “community” throwing out absurd projections as to how much money changed hands because of the Ohio St finish please do me a favor and ask them how they arrived at such a number.  Quantifying  financial impacts of one play is beyond absurd given offshores, corner bookmakers, and Las Vegas hotels don’t exactly opening their balance sheets to the public every week. Biggest winners for the players: Ohio State Clemson Florida State Chiefs Saints Broncos-Cowboys over Biggest winners for the house: Tennessee Indiana Notre Dame Bengals Raiders Cowboys GB-Det...

Last night went down as one of the worst bad beats I can ever remember in a football game. Was it worse than last year’s Monday Night Football mishap?  You tell...

Your weekly look at college football point spreads from the mainstream media perspective.  Catch the live performance Friday nights on Fox Sports Live and be on the lookout for the digital extended cut late Friday night and Saturday morning.  Andy Roddick, Clay Travis, and I have one goal in mind; help everyone pick a few...

This first month of NFL action has provided a good deal of information – affirming many team evaluations while also causing the perception of others to change.  But to what extent can we rely on a four-game sample to project going forward?  I wish I could give a quantifiable answer to that question but I’m not that smart, yet.  What I can tell you is that the process that determined the outcomes of weeks 1-4 was subject to a good deal of randomness.  In other words, “luck” – both good and bad –has made the final score an imperfect measure of a team’s true talent level.  Deciphering which teams are experiencing these extreme levels of positive or negative variation can go a long way in gaining an edge over the betting market. Written by Justin Zovas Below are two key statistics that highlight teams that are experiencing the greatest degrees of good and bad fortune in the turnover department – an aspect of football that has a large influence on games but also has strong mean-regressing characteristics.   Fumble Recovery Percentage Rank Team Recovery % 1 Tennessee 88.89% 2 Arizona 72.73% 3 Kansas City 72.73% 30 San Francisco 22.22% 31 San Diego 22.22% 32 Pittsburgh 18.18% Turnover Margin Rank Team Margin 1 Tennessee 9 2 Kansas City 9 3 Seattle 7 30 NY Giants -9 31 NY Jets -10 32 Pittsburgh -11   Dating back to 1989, the team that wins the turnover battle is an impressive 3880-1021-6 (.792) ATS.  While the market valuations of these teams may be affected by their recent good or bad turnover luck, we should project these teams to have league-average (turnover margin of 0 and fumble recovery rate of 50%) going forward. For example, it is highly unlikely...

The podcast that needs no introduction. There’s personality, alcohol chatter, and college football winners; what else could you possibly want from 4 esteemed members of society? Not a fan of this fancy widget? You can get all our podcasts on iTunes. Listen to them and tell everyone you know about pure glory that is the OTL weekly...

2013-14 NBA REGULAR SEASON WINS via LVH HAWKS               40.0 CELTICS              27.5 NETS                     52.5 BOBCATS            27.5 BULLS                  56.5 CAVALIERS       40.5 MAVERICKS       44 NUGGETS            47.0 PISTONS              41.0 WARRIORS        49.5 ROCKETS            54.5 PACERS               53.5 CLIPPERS           57.0 LAKERS               33.5 GRIZZLIES         49.0 HEAT                    60.0 BUCKS                  28.5 T-WOLVES         41.0 PELICANS          40.0 KNICKS               49.5 THUNDER          50.5 MAGIC                 24.5 76ERS                  16.5 SUNS                   21.5 BLAZERS          38.5 KINGS                31.5 SPURS               55.5 RAPTORS         36.5 JAZZ                   27.5 WIZARDS         42.0     ** ALL SIDES ARE -110 **** TEAMS MUST PLAY 82 REGULAR SEASON GAMES FOR ACTION...

There is nothing more exciting than watching fan reaction during major soccer competition. In anticipation of the 2nd leg of group play tomorrow, friend of the Program Rob Perez sent me this video from a slightly angry (some say deranged) Celtic fan last year.  This type of emotion should be bottled and sold, it’s what makes Champions League soccer flat out...

Alcohol, college football, and witty banter (sometimes); what the hell could be better than that? As an added bonus this week you get podcast extra time, yes it’s free of charge and just as glamorous as the entire body of work with the only difference being you realize none of your esteemed personalities can operate technology correctly. Feel free to check us out on iTunes, and by feel free I mean do so immediately and tell everyone you know to do the same. If you don’t, we may troll your twitter timelines with reckless abandon  ...

Rapid fire questions from Brent, Blaine, and Clay about the biggest games of the weekend in both college football and the NFL. Buckle-up, it’s a fun filled 10 minutes Click here to listen

When you can think like a bookmaker, it gives you an edge as a bettor.  The goal is to factor every possible scenario into making smart investment choices so in turn when you understand how the other half operates, figuring out strategies to beat them is significantly easier.  Slightly confused with what I mean? This video will help. Looking for more helpful betting information? Click here for the ultimate in Industry Analysis...