It’s not a Friday without our futbol fix from the main man across the pond James Kempton. Remember you can not only read his analysis here but also listen to his weekly podcast here. Aston Villa v Liverpool Liverpool -0.5 and 2.25 goals Although recent form suggests Liverpool and under, the goal line set at just 2.25 makes me side with the over. Beware of Villa here on the match line as they often produce a performance in these spots and Liverpool have still not rectified all of their problems. Still paying for the name on the jersey when looking to back Pool. Burnley v Crystal Palace Burnley -0.25 and 2.25 goals Both teams games last weekend cashed an overs ticket but I see Palace adopting a very cautious gameplan for this match. I’m going to lean slightly to the home team Burnley and give me the Unders on the goal line. Leicester City v Stoke City Pick and 2.25 goals Stoke and under are the sides that appeal to me given the fact I trust Mark Hughes to get a reaction from his team following last weeks pathetic effort. However, history tells us that backing Stoke away from home consistently in the EPL loses you money over the long term. There are far better opportunities for investing on the weekends card than tangling here. QPR v Manchester United Man United -1 and 2.5 goals The tight confines of Loftus Road should see a barnstorming game as I expect QPR to have a real go. This should see goals aplenty as I can’t trust United to keep a clean sheet if there are lots of crosses and high balls going into their box. Give me the over 2.5 goals and we’ll hope to cash this by...
EPL Round 21
posted by Todd
The FA cup slowed the momentum of the EPL campaign but rest assured James Kempton is back to break down all 20 games. Remember you can always find his podcast here in addition to his full written analysis each week right here on the site. Enjoy the fixtures this weekend and line those wallets! Also keep in mind for those new to EPL betting a number of teams may be without key contributors for coming fixtures due to the African Cup of Nations. Here’s a complete list of players competing for their country… Players lost to African Cup of Nations Sunderland v Liverpool Liverpool -0.5 and 2.5 goals Backing Liverpool away from home at present doesn’t seem a good idea to me. The fall out from the handling of the Steven Gerrard departure may be far reaching and I want to see them play an EPL game before trusting them. If pushed, I am siding with the home team but prefer the under 2.5 goal line as the best bet. Burnley v QPR Burnley -0.25 and 2.25 goals Burnley are deservedly priced as favourites but this is a game QPR will travel north with a genuine belief they can take all three points. Give me the over 2.25 goals as I don’t see any team being fearful of the other and far from being cagey I have a feeling this will have plenty of goals. Chelsea v Newcastle Chelsea -2 and 3 goals Newcastle are in turmoil and surely it will only be a lack of Chelsea desire that stops them from covering this handicap. Give me the home team to win by at least two but this line is tricky as the 2-0 home win is always a danger in these such Chelsea...
Round 20
posted by Todd
It’s the only way to ring in the New Year…no, not with 2 college football national semifinal games but rather a full slate of EPL fixtures. The hardest working man in the business around the holidays James Kempton is back with another installment of his game capsules. Happy and healthy new year to all of our loyal readers and may we start 2015 in style Stoke City v Manchester United Man United -0.5 and 2.5 goals Two wins in two days has pushed Stoke up the table and they will feel confident of taking on and beating United in the early game. The home crowd may not be in to this game as much as normal though as they may take a while to wake up after late night celebrations on NYE. If the crowd are not a factor in the game then I see United squeaking a win here. Aston Villa v Crystal Palace Villa -0.25 and 2 goals Both sides were involved in goalless draws on Sunday and the excitement factor is unlikely to increase this New Years Day. It’s difficult to say whether the Palace players have been lifted by the removal of Neil Warnock seemingly to be replaced by Alan Pardew. This is a game where the goal line is set at just two and it’s a very low number where you need to be brave to go under. However, when the Villains are at home the away side look to defend and play on the frustrations of the home supporters. A small lean to the home team. Hull City v Everton Everton -0.25 and 2.25 goals Everton are in disarray and on Sunday I gave out my ‘Alcaraz Alert’ as whenever the cumbersome Everton defender is selected the Toffees...
EPL Round 19
posted by Todd
With all games this Sunday please take care by checking injuries and team news before placing your bets. It’s also the ‘silly season’ as we call it here in the UK when the large number of fixtures in a short space of time can lead to some crazy results. So be sensible, bear that in mind and stake your wagers appropriately. Follow Ukbettingpro Click here for Premier League Podcast Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United Man United -0.25 and 2.75 goals Spurs are unbeaten in the last four meetings of the sides, including two 1-1 draws at White Hart Lane. Yes on Both Teams To Score is on a 5-0 run between the teams and given recent form can you see either side keeping a clean sheet here? There were plenty of goals just two days ago in both sides’ fixtures so I like goals here aplenty. On the match market I lean towards the away team. Southampton v Chelsea Chelsea -0.75 and 2.25 goals Chelsea ran out comfortable winners in both meetings last season and won 3-0 in this very fixture on the south coast. Maybe Jose knows just how to shut down this exciting and youthful Saints side. Rumors of a Southampton demise seem greatly over stated but can they pull a result out against one of the big sides? As of yet they have not achieved this feat but if you want to bet this game then all the value is with the home side on this handicap line. Aston Villa v Sunderland Aston Villa -0.25 and 2.25 goals Villa are unbeaten in the last six meetings of the sides and under 2.5 goals are 8-2 in the last 10 EPL matches between them. Considering both teams have been...
Round 18
posted by Todd
One of the greatest tradition in international sport is a full slate of EPL games on Boxing Day. What better way to bring in the holiday than with our UK Insider James Kempton for game capsules on every fixture. You can listen to his podcast here Chelsea v West Ham United Chelsea -1.5 and 2.75 goals The Hammers have not scored in the last three meetings of the teams but they are currently in great form. Jose will want revenge for last years goalless draw where he accused West Ham of dour tactics. I see Chelsea winning this game but can’t trust them to cover the handicap line and the goal line also looks a tricky proposition. Pass for me here. Burnley v Liverpool Liverpool -0.5 and 2.5 goals A rousing performance and finale at the weekend by the Reds should see them priced shorter than they should be come kick off. Who can trust this lightweight Liverpool team on the road against a team of fighters like Burnley? Not me for sure as it’s the home dog or pass but I do sense the line trending towards 0.75 by gameday so dog bettors may be best served to wait it out. Crystal Palace v Southampton Southampton -0.25 and 2.25 goals Palace were passed to death by City at the weekend and it’s not set to get much easier here. Southampton won both meetings of the sides to nil last season and this season they seem even better defensively. At the weekend the Saints comfortably beat Everton and I do not see them losing this game. Holiday games do bring a special atmosphere to grounds so I won’t be taking Palace on but the over 2.25 goals do offer some appeal to me. Everton...
Round 17
posted by Todd
The holiday gift that keeps on giving; James Kempton is back with his complete analysis for the pre Boxing day fixtures from across the pond. Remember you can always catch his weekly EPL podcast by clicking here as well. Manchester City v Crystal Palace Manchester City -1.5 and 2.75 goals City smell blood in the water and with Chelsea having a tricky road game at Stoke, they could pull even closer to the top of the table by the close of business. This is a game where I do not see anything other than a home win so even with a handicap of -1.5 I see a comfortable cover. Aston Villa v Manchester United Manchester United -0.75 and 2.5 goals Villa were unlucky last week when they played seventy minutes of their derby game at West Brom with just ten men. They lost narrowly 1-0 and their luck appears out as next up they host this red hot United side. A tighter defensive line for United in recent games makes me more likely to side with them here, especially as the line has ticked down from -1 to just -0.75 on the Reds. Hull City v Swansea City Hull City +0.25 and 2.25 goals Hull are in freefall and they need a win quickly to restore some belief in the squad as they enter this heavy festive period. The Swans lost late against Spurs last weekend and they are a much different side away from Wales. Having said that, in Wilfred Bony they have a genuine goal threat who could strike at any minute whereas the home side have very little offensive punch. If the line shifts to a Pick (which it may do come gameday) then I like the Swans and I also...
EPL Round-Up
posted by Todd
The weekly staple in your football handicapping, every game and every angle for the entire slate of fixtures from James Kempton. Be sure to listen to his podcast as well Burnley v Southampton Southampton -0.75 and Total Goals 2.5 All week I’ve heard the same: ‘The bubble has burst at Southampton’ nonsense. They have been beaten by three of the elite teams and two of those were unfortunate narrow defeats. On a -0.75 line though I have to favour the home side Burnley who have finally got adjusted to life at this level. Chelsea v Hull City Chelsea -2 and Total Goals 3 That defeat at Newcastle could see a backlash from Chelsea here against a woeful and toothless Hull side. Give me Chelsea -2 as I see a push as a worst case scenario. On the goal line I’d take an overs ticket coupled with a 2-0 home win correct score line as a bit of protection. Crystal Palace v Stoke City Palace PK (-125) and Total Goals O2.25 Both sides had excellent results last time out and this is a tough game to call. Usually when the lower sides meet it normally pays to side with the home team to avoid defeat. Stoke are in good form though so I’m going to swerve this game completely as even the goal market looks a mystery to me. Leicester City v Manchester City Manchester City -1.25 and Total Goals 3 The away side City are just at a different footballing level to their hosts. Leicester will be encouraged forward by their raucous home crowd leaving them open to the counter attack. It will only be for small stakes at this market price but the away win is the side to be on. A line...
Weekend Preview
posted by Todd
James Kempton is serving double duty this week, already sharing his mid-week report now followed by his weekend preview. Let the December fixture congestion begin in the EPL! Newcastle United v Chelsea Chelsea -1 and 2.5 Goals St James’ Park will be rocking for this one and after three tough games in a week maybe the strain will begin to show on this brittle Chelsea squad. Give me the home side here as they offer some good value given St James’ is not an easy place to visit let alone win by 2 goals. Hull City v West Bromwich Albion Hull City -0.25 and 2.5 goals Hull always tends to do well in these spots at home to fellow strugglers. Baggies boss Alan Irvine is under a lot of pressure and Steve Bruce targets these games as ‘must wins’ for Hull. It won’t be pretty but I’ve a heavy lean towards the home team and an unders ticket. I’m shocked the market there is as high as 2.5 goals albeit it with juice. Liverpool v Sunderland Liverpool -1 and 2.75 goals Love Liverpool in this spot after Sunderland have just played Chelsea and Man City in the past week. Chasing the ball will have sucked a lot out of their legs and Liverpool need to put a performance togethere here in front of their home crowd. Liverpool for me all day in this one. Queens Park Rangers v Burnley QPR -0.25 and 2.5 goals Rangers are far happier at the tight confines that Loftus Road provides them with then on the highway. Harry Redknapp will target these games and again you have to wonder how much three games in a week will take out of a thin Burnley side. This is a big game...
Mid-Week Report
posted by Todd
A mid week treat for the futbol enthusiast as the EPL won’t keep us waiting until the weekend this time around. James Kempton is here to offer his thoughts on every single mid-week fixture. Burnley v Newcastle PK and Goals 2.25 Burnley roared back over the weekend and have now gone three games undefeated. Confidence and morale is always a big factor for teams at the bottom end of the table. Newcastle lost this weekend and given the handicap line I’ll back the home side in Burnley. Slight lean to the under on the goals but not much value. Leicester v Liverpool Liverpool -0.5 and Goals 2.5 Welcoming big teams to their home venue brings out the best for City in terms of their crowd inspired performance. This will be another big night under lights in Leicester and this Liverpool side is wobbling. I’m one to wait on the team news as I’d be a happier man backing Liverpool with Gerrard in their starting line up, even more so if he’s used further forward in their system. Man Utd v Stoke City Man United -1.25 and Goals 2.75 No Di Maria means no bet on United for me here despite how easily they brushed aside Hull this weekend even without the Argentinian. For Stoke, it’s another big game away from home within a short space of time so it’s hard to build a case for them. I do quite like the overs line though as I know both sides can cause each other’s defence a lot of issues! Swansea v QPR Swansea -0.75 and Goals 2.5 The Swans couldn’t beat Palace this weekend and here they welcome a QPR side who will be buoyed by their own weekend win vs Leicester. Swansea should have...
EPL Round-Up
posted by Todd
The man, the myth, the legend James Kempton is back to share his thoughts on the upcoming EPL weekend. Before you walk to the window this weekend, here are his game by game gambling capsules. West Brom v Arsenal Arsenal -0.75 Goals 2.75 Arsenal are still shooting at David De Gea as I type this and guess what? He is still blocking it! Wenger always averts a crisis so you just know his team will win this game and possibly quite handsomely. On the handicap line though I will stay away and stick to the Gunners outright. If the goal line ticks down to 2.5, then I will take the over but at the current line of 2.75 I will swerve. Burnley v Aston Villa Burnley -0.25 Goals 2.25 The battle of the Claret and Blues…can Burnley make it three wins on the bounce? Maybe but poor teams in the EPL don’t often reel off three victories in a row. Value wise Villa do offer the best side of the handicap line as they are well suited to playing on the break. Liverpool v Stoke Liverpool -0.75 Goals 2.75 Liverpool less than a goal favourite at home to a side that were beaten on their own home soil by Burnley last week? Oh how the mighty have fallen! Stoke are big strong, physical and dangerous at set pieces and for that reason alone I will take them +0.75 goals. Man United v Hull City United -1.5 Goals 3 People will laugh at me but there are signs of a reborn United, greenshoots of recovery some may say. Give me the home side to have far more attacking flair and creativity to ensure they cover the handicap line. On the goal line I would far rather have an overs ticket...
EPL Round-Up
posted by Todd
After a brief international break the EPL is back with a vengeance. Of course our soccer coverage wouldn’t be complete without James Kempton weighing in with his game capsules. Remember you can listen to his podcast by clicking here. Chelsea v West Bromwich Albion Chelsea -1.75 Goal Line 3 Most pundits have crowned Chelsea champions but this title race is not over…well not officially. The Blues tend to struggle against the Baggies and have not covered a -1.5 handicap in any of the last six meetings of the sides. Give me Albion here to keep it close enough. Everton v West Ham United Everton -0.75 Goal Line 3 Everton are stumbling through this season and have not kicked on from the successes of last season whilst West Ham are on the opposite trajectory. Everton are strong in this spot though winning the last four EPL meetings and going unbeaten in the last twelve. Will Everton win? Maybe, but I give the Hammers a good chance of getting a draw so on this line they offer the value. Leicester City v Sunderland Leicester -0.25 Goal Line 2.5 Both sides need this game more than you can say to alleviate some of the relegation pressure beginning to build. City have only lost one home fixture this season, last time out against West Brom, so this is a tough game for Sunderland. Poyet needs a response from his men but this is a big game for the home side and I expect a big performance from City. I lean towards them but the under appears the best value bet. Manchester City v Swansea City Manchester City -1.5 Goal Line 3 Man City failed to beat QPR last time out and on a cold, windy and wet night in London that could have been viewed as a good result. However, they had picked their side with those...
EPL ROUND Ball
posted by Todd
Thankfully for a handful of EPL teams domestic play resumes again in earnest after performances in the Champions League that can only be described as abominations. As he does every Friday throughout the fall, James Kempton is here to provide quick gambling capsules of every fixture this weekend. Follow him on twitter and listen to his podcast Liverpool v Chelsea Liverpool will be hoping that the extra rest they gave their star players in Madrid on Tuesday night helps them here. It’ll be needed against a Chelsea side who are unbeaten in the last four meetings of the sides and have scored in six straight meets. Both teams have scored in five of those last six EPL match ups but I can’t trust the home team to find the net. Anfield is always a difficult place for the away side in these prestigious matches; under 2.5 goals is the play for me. Burnley v Hull City A game which offers very little interest from either a viewing or betting perspective. A little bit of value on the home side would be my suggestion here with Burnley however it’s a brave man who goes to the counter to back either the home side or the overs on the goal line. Manchester United v Crystal Palace A 2-0 United double last season…and I watched this particular match up in Caesars Palace in Las Vegas at 445am local time. Following the concession by Palace of three goals to Sunderland on Monday night, give me United on the match handicap line. This is the sort of game where United could rack up the goals to try and erase supporters’ memories of their other horrific displays this campaign. It obviously won’t but they can...