The OTL podcast got weird this week…I mean really weird even by our unusually low expectations for performance. Family matters took the glue KegsNEggs away from us this week meaning the 4 Horsemen were down to the 3 Amigos. Pretty sure Drew Collins was somewhere in the wilderness while I’m in no place to comment given my pathetic run of best bets. Arkansas/Texas A&M, UGA/Tennessee, Washington/Stanford, ACC messes, B1G debacles, ASU/UCLA, and plenty more games that I haven’t listed here will keep you entertained. Listen below, listen on iTunes (where you should totally subscribe and tell others to subscribe) or listen on your Android device. Wherever you listen, we hope you enjoy. See you next week. Cheers. If you’re having trouble viewing the widget click here (feel free to load the widget on your CFB centric sites as well)...
OTL Pod Week 4
posted by Todd
(As always, text adapted from the eloquent Adam Kramer of KeggsNEggs fame) The Week 4 gamblin’ podcast is here, just in time for a Thursday night game that doesn’t actually require you to gamble on it to make it interesting. Haha, just kidding. That’s loser talk. What an amazing sport this is. Other games included on the podcast this week include: Florida State-Clemson, Oklahoma-West Virginia, Alabama-Florida, LSU-Mississippi State, Michigan-Utah, and many, many more (than we could even list). Thank you to those of you who sent us game suggestions on Twitter. Your passion and degeneracy – seriously, y’all want intel on some weird games – are most appreciated. Listen below, listen on iTunes (where you should totally subscribe and tell others to subscribe) or listen on your Android device. Wherever you listen, we hope you enjoy. See you next week. Cheers. If you’re having trouble viewing the widget click here (feel free to load the widget on your CFB centric sites as well) Editor Note: BTW I do appreciate all the positive encouragement from you guys when it comes to delivering on my first successful best bet of the season. Fortunately the other 3 boys are clicking and you guys can help adopt #FadeFuhrman as your mantra until I get out of my own...
#BoxscoreReview Week 3...
posted by Todd
The deeper we get into the college football season, the more information we can glean from a team’s stats. Numbers never lie however there’s always noise in boxscores that needs to be sorted out before using it as the gospel. Final scores are misleading and that’s why we’re here to help sort out some of the stat lines that will help us identify value moving forward. Kudos to all those teams that pulled off impressive upsets, even with the playoff there’s still plenty of drama unfolding and yet to occur during the regular season. BYU vs Houston Byu only beat Houston 33-25 but the game was never as close as the final score. The Cougars got out of the gates quickly, building a 23-0 lead before Houston chipped into the lead before the half. Stat wise BYU out first downed Houston 32-18, outgained them by 198 yards, and out rushed them 323-10. Turnovers were the great equalizer keeping the undermanned UH side in the game. North Texas vs La Tech Louisiana Tech looked impressive in dispatching of North Texas 42-21. Tech built a 42-7 lead before the Mean Green scored the final 14 points of the game making the final look more respectable. Skip Holtz squad only outgained UNT by 79 yards however 135 yards of North Texas’ 279 came on the final 2 drives in garbage time. Buffalo vs Baylor Baylor went into western New York and obliterated Buffalo 63-21. The Bulls found a way to put 21 points on the board late however that came courtesy of the Bears second string defense. Against Baylor’s starters in the 1st half Buffalo amassed a grand total of 75 yards of offense on 8 drives with each series ending in a punt. Cincinnati vs Toledo...
Then & Now
posted by Todd
We’re only 3 weeks into the college football season…already the national championship picture is beyond muddled. The performances from contenders like FSU and Alabama haven’t left prognosticators pegging chalk for the national title. Then again the next time they crown a national champion in September will be the first. During the BCS era we grew accustomed to wholesale changes in future odds after just one loss but the playoff has changed the way oddsmakers need to adjust prices. You’ll notice plenty of teams from power conferences with only modest movement despite being saddled with a loss already (Ahem Georgia). Surprise teams like Texas A&M, BYU, and Notre Dame have seen value completely dissipate from their prices amid impressive hot starts. With so much football left to play there’s still value on the board…it’s all about identifying Cinderella before the rest of the betting community finds her first. All prices from Westgate Superbook August 28 Current Change FSU 3 4 -1 Oregon 6 6 0 Alabama 5 6 -1 Oklahoma 7 7 0 Auburn 15 8 7 UCLA 10 12 -2 LSU 20 15 5 Baylor 20 15 5 Texas A&M 100 15 85 Georgia 18 20 -2 Notre Dame 100 25 75 Ohio St 40 30 10 Michigan St 25 30 -5 Ole Miss 50 30 20 USC 30 30 0 South Carolina 30 40 -10 Florida 60 40 20 Wisconsin 30 50 -20 Stanford 50 50 0 BYU 300 50 250 Kansas St 100 75 25 Nebraska 100 75 25 TCU 100 75 25 Arizona St 100 100 0 Missouri 100 100 0 Washington 75 100 -25 Clemson 75 100 -25 Arizona 200 100 100 Mississippi St 100 100 0 Oklahoma St 200 200 0 North Carolina 100 200 -100 Field 75 200...
Let It Ride
posted by Todd
Your full dose of Let It Ride for a pretty sorry weekend of college football (at least on paper). That’s why we’re always thankful there’s plenty of gambling to get us through the doldrums! Let It Ride Degenerate Special (aka the Texas A&M haterade play) Let It Ride Bonus...
OTL Week 3
posted by Todd
(Text via KegsNEggs) Week 3 of the college football season is here. To celebrate this INCREDIBLE AMAZING WONDERFUL slate of football games, we’re podcastin’, of course. More specifically, we’re talking point spreads. Included this week: Georgia-South Carolina, UCLA-Texas, Oklahoma-Tennessee and more. How do you make a pretty average Saturday interesting, you ask? Well, you wager absurd sums of money you don’t actually have. That’s how. (Disclaimer: Sorta joking. Don’t sue.) Editor’s note: Adam and Todd will be forced to enter the drunk tank (or dunk tank) if they continue to pick games the way they’ve started the season. Follow all your OTL personalities on twitter: Adam Kramer, Bud Elliott, Drew Collins Listen below, listen on iTunes (where you should totally subscribe and tell others to subscribe) or listen on your Android device. Wherever you listen, we hope you enjoy. And yes, the podcast widget has been changed to green to indicate the color of money…...
#BoxscoreReview Week 2...
posted by Todd
Another crazy weekend in college football with movement all throughout the land. Final scores that left us going “how the hell did that happen” and results that didn’t mesh with the stat sheet. That’s what we’re here for to highlight inconsistencies in order to take advantage of next week’s numbers. Remember, feel free to use #BoxscoreReview while watching games and we’ll be sure to include your observations in our weekly column. Every game won’t hit our scoresheet especially when the stats paint an accurate picture of what unfolded on the field. Credit Arizona fir going into hostile territory to take on upstart program UTSA as part of last year’s return trip. The Wildcats were generous, keeping the Roadrunners in the game despite outgaining them by 105 yards. Arizona settled for 4 field goals, preventing them from covering -7.5 as road despite being the dominant side for most of the evening. Washington St lost the battle on the scoreboard 24-13 but won the total yards stat sheet 427-324. There was nothing new with Mike Leach’s offense, 389 yards of passing offense compared to just 38 yards rushing. Nevada benefited from a +2 turnover margin in winning outright as a 3 point home dog. All 31-0 scores are not created equally…just ask Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish didn’t even eclipse 300 yards of offense, getting outgained by Michigan 289-280. Notre Dame finished the game +4 in turnovers which helped them put the Wolverines away early. The running game was problematic for Brian Kelly’s bunch, mustering just 54 yards on 31 carries. Notre Dame struggled throughout the 2nd half to move the football as well, putting together just 1 drive that gained more than 10 yards. Buffalo trailed Army 47-17 with 11:10 left to play in the...
OTL Pod
posted by Todd
Via Adam Kramer…(since he says it better than I could and well he’s taking accountability) Oh yea, we’ll also try and pick winners for a change “So we’re a bit delayed, and we apologize about that. The reason for said delay will be addressed early in the podcast. It was totally me I’m not going to blame anyone, but these things happen. But we are back and we are talkin’ college football point point spreads. Some of the Week 2 games we touched on include: Oregon-Michigan State, USC-Stanford, Ohio State-Virginia Tech, South Carolina-East Carolina, Michigan-Notre Dame and many more. Listen below, listen on iTunes (where you should totally subscribe and tell others to subscribe) or listen on your Android device. Wherever you listen, we hope you enjoy. We will be recording (and posting) on Wednesday nights for the next few weeks and then it will be back to Tuesdays....
#BoxscoreReview
posted by Todd
Boxscore Review is back! I got a little long winded this weekend…it won’t happen again. Moving forward we’ll just aim to highlight games where the final scores didn’t tell the whole story whereas this week I elected to utilize more of a game capsule route. During the course of the season if you see a score line that’s not indicative of the boxscore use the hashtag #BoxscoreReview and we’ll incorporate in our weekly column. Texas A&M did whatever they wanted when they wanted to against South Carolina’s defense. The Aggies racked up 680 total yards of offense, 511 via the passing game on a 44-60 night from Kenny Hill. South Carolina only ran the ball for 67 yards without Mike Davis in the 2nd half but they were forced to abandon the ground game while playing catch-up most of the night. The most troubling part for the Gamecocks is they were only 2 of 9 extending drives on 3rd down. Boise played Ole Miss much closer than the final score indicated. The game was actually 7-6 headed into the 4th quarter before the Rebels exploded for 3 TD’s inside of 5 minutes to put the game on ice. Ball security wasn’t a point of emphasis for either starting QB, throwing 7 combined interceptions. Ole Miss never established a ground game either running the ball 34 times for an average of 2.1 ypc. No Rebel player carried the ball more than 9x…and that was QB Bo Wallace. Wake Forest had the most pathetic offensive performance of the entire weekend (SMU was close). The Demon Deacons amassed 5 first downs, 94 yards of offense, and -3 yards rushing on 27 carries. Wake did lead 10-0 at one point in the game with their lone touchdown coming...
Kickoff Podcast
posted by Todd
The season is here and the schedule starts in earnest later this afternoon. In honor of its arrival Petros, Clay Travis, Matt Leinart, and I sat down to talk everything college football and then some. You’ll laugh, you’ll cry, and you’ll learn something about the game you never thought you would....
Fav or Field
posted by Todd
Last night we attacked all 6 power conferences (yes, the AAC counts too) on Let It Ride. The choice was pretty simple for some leagues where favorites will run away and hide. However there were 2 leagues with prohibitive favs where penciling them into the playoff/conference championship game isn’t a foregone conclusion. Be sure to tune into Fox Sports Live every Friday throughout the season as we’ll offer plenty of gambling advice on Let It Ride to get you to the window with great regularity all fall long...
In Memorium
posted by Todd
Before we begin the journey that is the 2014 college football season, I ask all of you to observe a moment (or 5 minutes) of silence for the season that was in 2013. Remember bad beats are part of the game and if you can’t laugh at the past you’ll never move forward. May the gambling gods be with you in 2014 and prosperity find you at every halftime, team total, parlay, and full game wager. (Video courtesy of Bad Beat Sports)...