The value of perfect information to a sports bettor should never be understated. We saw bettors taking the points last night with the Eagles last night continuing to lay the price up to -2.5, even 3 in some spots before Romo’s herniated disc was made public. As it often does, mis-information in the sports betting world predominates even when delivered through respected channels.  Tony Romo was officially downgraded to “expected to miss” for this weekend’s pivotal game against Philadelphia.  Of course upon this announcement, every sportsbook operator pulled the price of Eagles -2.5/-3 (depending on the shop) knowing an adjustment was required based on the QB’s absence.  Lost in the shuffle is that you could have faded the Cowboys yesterday at the top of the market when Dallas was listed as a favorite at a handful of books. On the overnight a prominent offshore book made Philly -2.5 after seeing money continue to flow in on the Eagles at the short opening number given their dominance against the Bears. When lines move all the time, why is this important you ask? Well in a situation like this, someone HAD TO KNOW Romo’s health. In age of real time information keeping news of this magnitude completely under wraps is damn near impossible. I’m not saying a lot of people knew he’d need surgery but rest assured there was someone outside of Tony Romo’s inner circle who understood there was more than just a slight possibility he would be on the shelf this weekend. I know people have argued that according to the line move Romo is only worth 4 to 4.5 pts given the shift in the market once the injury was announced.  However the actual move is closer to 7 (or more) when you...

As we get closer to the end of the regular season our focus (if it hasn’t already) shifts towards the futures market.  Here’s the up to the minute numbers from the LVH ODDS TO WIN 2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII @ METLIFE STADIUM — EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2, 2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII GAME LINE NFC -2.5 AFC                             TOTAL  49.5 SUPER BOWL PATRIOTS 8 49ERS 8 BRONCOS 5-2 PACKERS 30 SEAHAWKS 9-5 STEELERS 300 SAINTS 16 RAVENS 75 BEARS 40 BENGALS 12 COWBOYS 50 CHARGERS 75 COLTS 30 PANTHERS 8 EAGLES 30 DOLPHINS 60 CHIEFS 30 CARDINALS 60 2014 NFC CONFERENCE 49ERS 4 PACKERS 15 SEAHAWKS 4-5 SAINTS 8 BEARS 20 COWBOYS 25 PANTHERS 4 EAGLES 15 CARDINALS 30 2014 AFC CONFERENCE PATRIOTS 3 BRONCOS 1-2 STEELERS 150 RAVENS 35 BENGALS 11-2 CHARGERS 35 COLTS 13 DOLPHINS 25 CHIEFS...

It’s everyone’s favorite segment (well maybe just my Mom and Dad’s so my degeneracy doesn’t go to waste) but you should watch anyways. Charissa Thompson and I go into a few of the weekend’s biggest games in the NFL but more importantly we pick the tilts that offer the most betting value.  Enjoy. Have feedback on what you’d like to see in the segment? Email me...

It’s the most wonderful time of year, no not because of the holidays but because 35 mediocre bowl games are here for us to enjoy.  Not only did we attempt (emphasis on attempt) to dissect all of the games before Dec 31 we also weighed in on “DECISION 2014: Operation Burnt Orange.” As always cheap shots were fired among us and there are alcohol selections to get you through the busy selection.  I’d link to all the key contributors but if you don’t already know where to find the boys you’re doing something wrong. Don’t fret when this podcast ends, there will be a part 2!!! You can get this particular podcast and all OTL podcasts on on iTunes, and you should do so. ALSO, Android users, we’ve got you taken care of. Be sure to tune back next week for Part 2. Proper New Year’s drinks will also be...

My nickname is Paddy Public for a reason. For years I was the guy in the sports book wondering why his 3 team parlay of the biggest ML favorites wasn’t hitting and ripping up my Patriots -2.5 ticket because apparently that line wasn’t “a gift.” I was a chronic loser. However, I have been lucky enough over the past year or so to get to know some very successful bettors and because of that I have been able to shed some very poor gambling habits that used to drain my bankroll. While many who read this list might find these five things incredibly obvious, they weren’t obvious to me a year ago. I have forced myself to follow rules and as a result I have seen a tremendous shift when it comes to the amount of bets I win and lose. If it looks to be good to be true, it probably is: Vegas doesn’t make mistakes. No matter what you think you know or how big of a sports fan you might think you are whenever you see a line that makes you think “Wow that’s a gift,” stop what you’re doing, run to the window and immediately play the other side. I can’t even begin to imagine how many times I got burned taking a 10-3 team as a road favorite against a 3-10 team because I thought it was free money. Don’t chase: I could pay rent for a year with the amount of money I have thrown away chasing bets. I’d start off with Broncos -7, then make a live wager on Broncos -3 after they go down, then put even more on Broncos -7 2H down 7 because come on, Peyton Manning at home, no way he can lose...

ODDS TO WIN 2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII @ METLIFE STADIUM — EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2, 2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII GAME LINE NFC -2.5 AFC                             TOTAL  49.5 SUPER BOWL PATRIOTS 12 49ERS 8 BRONCOS 5-2 PACKERS 25 SEAHAWKS 3-2 TEXANS xxxx FALCONS xxxx STEELERS 1000 SAINTS 12 RAVENS 25 GIANTS xxxx REDSKINS xxxx BEARS 40 BENGALS 15 COWBOYS 60 CHARGERS 200 LIONS 75 VIKINGS xxxx COLTS 30 PANTHERS 12 JETS xxxx EAGLES 40 DOLPHINS 50 RAMS xxxx BUCS xxxx BROWNS xxxx CHIEFS 20 TITANS xxxx BILLS xxxx CARDINALS 100 RAIDERS xxxx JAGUARS xxxx 2014 NFC CONFERENCE 49ERS 4 PACKERS 13 SEAHAWKS 5-8 FALCONS xxxx SAINTS 6 GIANTS xxxx REDSKINS xxxx BEARS 20 COWBOYS 30 LIONS 37 VIKINGS xxxx PANTHERS 6 EAGLES 20 RAMS xxxx BUCS xxxx CARDINALS 50 2014 AFC CONFERENCE PATRIOTS 9-2 BRONCOS 1-2 TEXANS xxxx STEELERS 500 RAVENS 12 BENGALS 6 CHARGERS 90 COLTS 13 JETS xxxx DOLPHINS 23 BROWNS xxxx CHIEFS 8 TITANS xxxx BILLS xxxx RAIDERS xxxx JAGUARS...

Bowl season can be a daunting challenge for sports bettors still wet behind the ears. Hell, it’s a challenge for those of us that have been doing it for years. Here are a few key things to consider before walking to the window this postseason. Looking to follow all the biggest bowl moves on your mobile device? Click Here Complete updated list of bowl games and expert...

Early morning breakdown of all the biggest movers for Week 15 in the NFL Click here to listen

Each week during the regular season the LVH puts out their look-ahead lines one week in advance. How much can one result impact the point spread the following week (not accounting for injuries)? Think you’ll be surprised by some of the market adjustments from just last weekend Game Look Ahead Current SD @ DEN DEN -11 DEN -10 WAS @ ATL ATL -2.5 (-120) ATL -6.5 SF @ TB SF -6 SF -5 AZ @ TEN AZ -1.5 AZ -2.5 NO @ STL NO -4.5 NO -6.5 SEA @ NYG SEA -5.5 SEA -7 CHI @ CLE NL CHI -1 HOU @ IND IND -6.5 IND -5.5 BUF @ JAX BUF -2.5 BUF -2 NE @ MIA NE -4 NE PK PHI @ MIN PHI -3 PHI -4.5 NYJ @ CAR CAR -10 CAR -11 KC @ OAK KC -3 (-120) KC -4.5 GB @ DAL NL NL CIN @ PIT CIN -1 CIN -2 BAL @ DET DET -4 DET...

There are rules to live by, unspoken or otherwise, for all walks of life. Sports bettors are no different Never ask another man how much he bets, let him indicate how bullish he is on a game by saying he bet 1x, 2x, etc.  Everyone’s bankroll is different but dollars wagered doesn’t indicate how talented a handicapper is when his primary goal is to stay within his means. Always reciprocate with those who share confidential information. Never say a game is in the bag until it’s officially over. There’s no faster way to get under a superstitious gambler’s skin than saying a game’s a winner before the clock hits triple zero Always remain humble, no matter how hot you get regression is right around the corner. Never say a line is a joke unless you’re willing to plow into it with your own money. Always remain confident, no matter how cold you are the cream always rises and the breaks will come. Never ask someone what they saw in a game once the outcome has been decided.  Anyone who has been in this business for a long time sees plenty of lopsided decisions against him and subsequently learns from those mistakes. Throwing salt in a fresh wound doesn’t help the cause. Always encourage others in the field to be more honest. Most gamblers lie so if a guy tells you when he wins or when he loses it’s a sign of being humble.  The only guy who never loses is the dude at the water cooler every Monday morning bragging about his record yet he still keeps working at a job he hates. Never trash another handicapper or take delight in their misfortune. There will always be bettors/posters/handicappers we don’t like but the karma...

ODDS TO WIN 2014 MENS NCAA BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT COWBOYS STADIUM — ARLINGTON, TX MONDAY, APRIL 7, 2014 Prices courtesy of the LVH KENTUCKY 5 DUKE 10 MICHIGAN ST 5 FLORIDA 20 ARIZONA 10 LOUISVILLE 5 OHIO ST 12 NORTH CAROLINA 25 MICHIGAN 50 KANSAS 8 VCU 100 GONZAGA 75 WISCONSIN 40 SYRACUSE 18 GEORGETOWN 75 VIRGINIA 200 INDIANA 200 CREIGHTON 100 MARQUETTE 200 PITTSBURGH 100 COLORADO 200 ST LOUIS 200 BUTLER 500 IOWA 30 U CONN 60 MEMPHIS 60 TENNESSEE 200 BAYLOR 100 NEW MEXICO 100 WICHITA ST 100 MISSOURI 100 OREGON 50 STANFORD 300 VILLANOVA 60 UCLA 60 OKLAHOMA ST 6 TEXAS 500 UNLV 500 SAN DIEGO ST 300 OLE MISS 500 KANSAS ST 500 ALABAMA 500 CINCINNATI 200 ILLINOIS 500 NC STATE 500 FLORIDA ST 500 NOTRE DAME 300 ST JOHNS 500 PURDUE 1000 IOWA ST 100 OKLAHOMA 300 HARVARD 300 BOISE ST 200 ARKANSAS 500 LSU 200 ARIZONA ST 500 BYU 500 MIAMI FL 1000 VANDERBILT 1000 DAYTON 500 TEMPLE 2000 MARYLAND 500 MINNESOTA 300 CALIFORNIA 500 PROVIDENCE 500 WASHINGTON 2000 USC 2000 DAVIDSON 5000 XAVIER 500 WEST VIRGINIA 500 NORTHERN IOWA 1000 EVANSVILLE 2000 BELMONT 1000 LASALLE 500 RICHMOND 1000 SOUTHERN MISS 1000 COLORADO ST 1000 TEXAS A&M 1000 SOUTH CAROLINA 1000 MIDDLE TN ST 1000 ST MARYS 300 WISCONSIN GREEN BAY 200 U MASS 300 CHARLOTTE 500 ST JOES 2000 BOSTON COLLEGE 1000 GEORGIA TECH 2000 WAKE FOREST 2000 CLEMSON 1000 NORTHWESTERN 1000 GEORGE MASON 2000 UTEP 2000 EAST CAROLINA 2000 CENTRAL FLORIDA 2000 AKRON 1000 OHIO 2000 FRESNO ST 2000 GEORGIA 2000 RHODE ISLAND 2000 FIELD...

With groups draw earlier today, here are your up to the minute odds to win the World Cup courtesy of the LVH. 2014 WORLD CUP   VARIOUS LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT BRAZIL JUNE 12 – JULY 13, 2014   ODDS TO WIN: BRAZIL 5-2 ARGENTINA 4-1 SPAIN 6-1 GERMANY 5-1 NETHERLANDS 20-1 ITALY 20-1 ENGLAND 30-1 FRANCE 20-1 PORTUGAL 25-1 URUGUAY 25-1 CHILE 40-1 USA 125-1 MEXICO 80-1 IVORY COAST 100-1 RUSSIA 40-1 CROATIA 125-1 GHANA 100-1 ECUADOR 100-1 CAMEROON 500-1 COLOMBIA 20-1 JAPAN 100-1 AUSTRALIA 500-1 NIGERIA 200-1 SOUTH KOREA 250-1 BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA 150-1 SWITZERLAND 80-1 GREECE 200-1 ALGERIA 1000-1 BELGIUM 12-1 COSTA RICA 1000-1 IRAN 2000-1 HONDURAS...