Soccer’s final 4 kicks off later today and we brought in a hired gun to share his breakdown of the first leg. For those just starting to get their feet wet with soccer there are a few different betting options worth understanding before you even read this column and should be well aware of before heading blind into the World Cup this June from Brazil. 3 Way Line (Moneyline): This is the moneyline and a bit confusing to newer bettors because there is no refund if the game ends in a tie. You have 3 options: favorite, underdog, or draw. Yes, nothing says investing in a game hoping it ends in a tie but there is often a ton of value to be found here because the casual gambler avoids it like the plague. 2 Way Line (Pointspread): The favorite price on this bet will reflect the prices being offered on the 3 way. However just like more traditional American sports the higher the moneyline the “pointspread” will go from -.5 as high as needed to offer a secondary option to bettors. On these bets note they only include regulation so if a game goes to extra time (not stoppage time) the bet would be graded. Asian Handicap: Probably the most confusing bet type for those that haven’t seen it before but picture having 1 bet at 2 different prices. For example if you see -.75 that means half your wager is at -.5 and the other half at -1. If you lay -.75 (-110) and risk 100 for a game that ends 2-1 you’d actually make 50 bucks while 50 bucks would be refunded. For further soccer questions as we all prepare for the world’s greatest sporting event send them here Without further...
Talking Hoops
posted by Todd
The NBA playoffs start today and I don’t really keep it a secret that the opening rounds are often anti-climactic. However, betting lines mean everything is exciting and well our goal is to make money even if it’s a snail race (sorry Heat vs Bobcats series). Last night Charissa and I broke it all down on FS Live when it comes to identifying value. Also included are a full list of playoff future odds and series prices. Enjoy 1st Round Series Prices NBA SERIES PRICES Atlanta Hawks (Series Prices) +425 (17/4) Indiana Pacers (Series Prices) -650 (2/13) Charlotte Bobcats (Series Price) +1000 (10/1) Miami Heat (Series Price) -2500 (1/25) Brooklyn Nets (Series Prices) -160 (5/8) Toronto Raptors (Series Prices) +140 (7/5) Washington Wizards (Series Prices) +170 (17/10) Chicago Bulls (Series Prices) -200 (1/2) Dallas Mavericks (Series Prices) +550 (11/2) San Antonio Spurs (Series Prices) -900 (1/9) Memphis Grizzlies (Series Prices) +300 (3/1) Oklahoma City Thunder (Series Prices) -420 (5/21) Golden State Warriors (Series Prices) +300 (3/1) Los Angeles Clippers (Series Prices) -400 (1/4) Portland Trail Blazers (Series Prices) +180 (9/5) Houston Rockets (Series Prices) – 220 (5/11) 2013-2014 NBA CHAMPIONSHIP HEAT 9-5 THUNDER 4 BULLS 40 SPURS 5-2 PACERS 5 CLIPPERS 10 GRIZZLIES 60 WARRIORS 30 ROCKETS 20 MAVERICKS 100 NETS 40 HAWKS 500 BLAZERS 40 WIZARDS 100 RAPTORS 60 BOBCATS 200ODDS TO WIN 2013-2014 EASTERN CONFERENCE HEAT 5-8 BULLS 15 PACERS 3-2 NETS 15 HAWKS 200 WIZARDS 40 RAPTORS 20 BOBCATS 80 ODDS TO WIN 2013-2014 WESTERN CONFERENCE THUNDER 7-4 SPURS 5-4 CLIPPERS 5 GRIZZLIES 30 WARRIORS 15 ROCKETS 10 MAVERICKS 50 BLAZERS...
Playoff Central
posted by Todd
The NHL playoffs start in earnest tonight and mark the best 8 week stretch of any sport’s postseason. Parity reigns supreme as there are arguably 10-12 teams capable of winning the Cup with the hot goalie. While you’ll be disappointed I didn’t dress like Don Cherry last night on FS Live we did hit on a few of the value plays to potentially take home the hardware along with 3 key factors in handicapping playoff hockey. As always shop around for future prices before walking to the window, no sense taking a bad number if a better price is only a click away. NHL Series Prices Montreal Canadiens (Series Prices) 20/21 (-105) Tampa Bay Lightning (Series Prices) 20/23 (-115) Columbus Blue Jackets (Series Prices) 11/5 (+220) Pittsburgh Penguins (Series Prices) 5/13 (-260) Dallas Stars (Series Prices) 33/20 (+165) Anaheim Ducks (Series Prices) 10/19 (-190) Philadelphia Flyers (Series Prices) 5/4 (+125) New York Rangers (Series Prices) 20/29 (-145) Chicago Blackhawks (Series Prices) 10/11 (-110) St. Louis Blues (Series Prices) 10/11 (-110) Minnesota Wild (Series Prices) 23/20 (+115) Colorado Avalanche (Series Prices) 20/27 (-135) Los Angeles Kings (Series Prices) 5/4 (+125) San Jose Sharks (Series Prices) 20/29 (-145) Detroit Red Wings (Series Prices) 5/2 (+250) Boston Bruins (Series Prices) 1/3 (-300) Odds to win the Stanley 2013-2014 PENGUINS 7 BLACKHAWKS 6 BRUINS 7-2 BLUES 6 RANGERS 20 KINGS 12 SHARKS 8 CANADIENS 20 RED WINGS 30 DUCKS 7 BLUE JACKETS 50 FLYERS 30 WILD 50 LIGHTNING 25 STARS 50 AVALANCHE 6 ODDS TO WIN 2013-2014 EASTERN CONFERENCE PENGUINS 5-2 BRUINS 5-4 RANGERS 8 CANADIENS 8 RED WINGS 13 BLUE JACKETS 20 FLYERS 13 LIGHTNING 11 ODDS TO WIN 2013-2014 WESTERN CONFERENCE BLACKHAWKS 7-2 BLUES 7-2 KINGS 7...
NBA Championship
posted by Todd
With the regular season winding down and a few win totals still in doubt, the real focus shifts towards finding value (if any) in the chase for NBA supremacy. I’m a big believer in the value future markets offer but the NBA is one sport where I don’t see much benefit in investing given the top heavy nature of the league. However, that doesn’t stop me from sharing the odds and being intrigued by both the Bulls and Nets at 15-1 to win the East. All prices courtesy of the LVH Complete list of NBA power ratings ODDS TO WIN NBA TITLE HEAT 9-5 THUNDER 7-2 BULLS 40 SPURS 5-2 PACERS 5 CLIPPERS 10 GRIZZLIES 60 WARRIORS 30 ROCKETS 20 MAVERICKS 100 NETS 40 HAWKS 1000 BLAZERS 40 WIZARDS 100 RAPTORS 60 SUNS 200 BOBCATS 300 ODDS TO WIN 2013-2014 EASTERN CONFERENCE HEAT 4-7 BULLS 15 PACERS 8-5 NETS 15 HAWKS 400 WIZARDS 35 RAPTORS 20 BOBCATS 120 ODDS TO WIN 2013-2014 WESTERN CONFERENCE THUNDER 8-5 SPURS 5-4 CLIPPERS 5 GRIZZLIES 30 WARRIORS 15 ROCKETS 10 MAVERICKS 50 BLAZERS 20 SUNS 100...
Updated Odds
posted by Todd
With the first 18 holes in the books, odds were on the move for the remaining 54 holes of golf’s first major. All odds courtesy of the LVH THE MASTERS AUGUSTA NATIONAL GOLF CLUB – AUGUSTA, GEORGIA APRIL 10-13, 2014 ODDS TO WIN (updated after 1st Round): TIGER WOODS DNS PHIL MICKELSON 50/1 RORY McILROY 8/1 ADAM SCOTT 11/2 JUSTIN ROSE 125/1 BRANDT SNEDEKER 15/1 JASON DAY 40/1 LEE WESTWOOD 40/1 CHARL SCHWARTZEL 50/1 DUSTIN JOHNSON 150/1 HENRIK STENSON 30/1 MATT KUCHAR 20/1 JASON DUFNER 1000/1 LUKE DONALD 500/1 BUBBA WATSON 7/1 KEEGAN BRADLEY 100/1 LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN 12/1 HUNTER MAHAN 60/1 SERGIO GARCIA 40/1 GRAEME McDOWELL 50/1 STEVE STRICKER 80/1 IAN POULTER 250/1 RICKIE FOWLER 30/1 ANGEL CABRERA 500/1 WEBB SIMPSON 100/1 NICK WATNEY 100/1 BILL HAAS 15/1 ZACH JOHNSON 500/1 THORBJORN OLESEN 200/1 JIM FURYK 125/1 HIDEKI MATSUYAMA 1000/1 JORDAN SPIETH 30/1 MARTIN KAYMER 500/1 BO VAN PELT XX RYAN MOORE 500/1 BILLY HORSCHEL 500/1 NICOLAS COLSAERTS XX K.J. CHOI 50/1 ERNIE ELS 150/1 HARRIS ENGLISH 60/1 PETER HANSON 500/1 MARTIN LAIRD XX JONAS BLIXT 80/1 PAUL CASEY XX FRED COUPLES 60/1 ROBERT GARRIGUS XX PADRAIG HARRINGTON XX MATTEO MANASSERO 100/1 FREDDIE JACOBSON XX FRANCESCO MOLINARI 60/1 SCOTT PIERCY XX RUSSELL HENLEY 150/1 BRANDEN GRACE 2000/1 RICHARD STERNE XX BOO WEEKLEY 250/1 MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENEZ 80/1 GRAHAM DeLAET 1000/1 GEOFF OGILVY XX BROOKS KOEPKA XX TIM CLARK 1000/1 GEORGE COETZEE XX BERND WEISBERGER XX MARC LEISHMAN 30/1 CHARLES HOWELL III XX JIMMY WALKER 25/1 KEVIN STREELMAN 150/1 CHARLEY HOFFMAN ...
Pacing Themselves
posted by Todd
Futility comes in different forms (think Chicago Cubs with their unending quest to be World Series champions). Professional franchises go long stretches without titles, making the playoffs, or even rattling off a .500 season here and there. However, right this very moment there’s a dubious distinction ready to be bestowed on a team that calls our country’s heartland home. The Pacers struggles are well chronicled and while they’ve seen their lead in the East completely vanish, there is something disappearing even faster than their playoff seeding: bettor’s bankrolls. Over their last 25 games Indiana is a wallet breaking 3-22 ATS. Even the 76ers were 8-17-1 against the number while they rattled off 26 straight outright losses. Given the Pacers struggle to cash tickets and their place among the so called elite teams in the NBA, it was interesting to get the perspective from 2 offshore sportsbooks on the unique betting trends that have emerged. How far has Indiana fallen in some power ratings? Click here for the complete list ” To say the Pacers are a mess is an understatement. They have no failed to cover in 9 straight games and their locker room seems to be joke. They seem to be tanking at exactly the wrong time, a time when they could have wrapped up the #1 seed in the East,” Mike Perry told me. He wasn’t done there regarding the impact it’s had on his operation at Sportsbook.com. “Despite their recent skid, the Pacers have been backed by the majority of bettors cash in 7 of the now 9 straight games (Needed Indy vs Heat on March 26th & vs Spurs on Mar. 31st) that they have failed to cover. I think it all comes to who they play. Even though Atlanta smoked the Pacers on Sunday, I expect...
Green Jacket
posted by Todd
The start of our first golf major is only a few short days away. There’s plenty of value to be found on the board (no, I’m not sure where). When Tiger is not in the mix it tends to depress some of the odds that are available but the simple reality is that no golfer is prices less than 10-1 telling you the field should be as wide open as ever. All prices courtesy of the LVH THE MASTERS AUGUSTA NATIONAL GOLF CLUB – AUGUSTA, GEORGIA APRIL 10-13, 2014 ODDS TO WIN: TIGER WOODS WD PHIL MICKELSON 12/1 RORY McILROY 10/1 ADAM SCOTT 10/1 JUSTIN ROSE 25/1 BRANDT SNEDEKER 25/1 JASON DAY 12/1 LEE WESTWOOD 40/1 CHARL SCHWARTZEL 40/1 DUSTIN JOHNSON 20/1 HENRIK STENSON 25/1 MATT KUCHAR 12/1 JASON DUFNER 30/1 LUKE DONALD 50/1 BUBBA WATSON 20/1 KEEGAN BRADLEY 30/1 LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN 60/1 HUNTER MAHAN 40/1 SERGIO GARCIA 25/1 GRAEME McDOWELL 50/1 STEVE STRICKER 80/1 IAN POULTER 50/1 RICKIE FOWLER 50/1 ANGEL CABRERA 40/1 WEBB SIMPSON 80/1 NICK WATNEY 125/1 BILL HAAS 80/1 ZACH JOHNSON 25/1 THORBJORN OLESEN 125/1 JIM FURYK 80/1 HIDEKI MATSUYAMA 80/1 JORDAN SPIETH 30/1 MARTIN KAYMER 150/1 BO VAN PELT XX RYAN MOORE 60/1 BILLY HORSCHEL 125/1 NICOLAS COLSAERTS XX K.J. CHOI 100/1 ERNIE ELS 100/1 HARRIS ENGLISH 40/1 PETER HANSON 125/1 MARTIN LAIRD XX JONAS BLIXT 250/1 PAUL CASEY XX FRED COUPLES 100/1 ROBERT GARRIGUS XX PADRAIG HARRINGTON XX MATTEO MANASSERO 200/1 FREDDIE JACOBSON XX FRANCESCO MOLINARI 125/1 SCOTT PIERCY XX RUSSELL HENLEY 150/1 BRANDEN GRACE 200/1 RICHARD STERNE XX BOO WEEKLEY 300/1 MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENEZ 200/1 GRAHAM DeLAET 50/1 GEOFF OGILVY XX BROOKS KOEPKA XX TIM CLARK 150/1 GEORGE COETZEE XX BERND WEISBERGER XX MARC LEISHMAN 125/1 CHARLES HOWELL III XX JIMMY WALKER 50/1 KEVIN STREELMAN 250/1 CHARLEY...
Say Goodbye Letterman...
posted by Todd
We’re clearly in the age (at least offshore) where you can bet on anything under the sun. Given David Letterman’s surprising retirement announcement earlier this week , Sportsbook.com created a wagering market for who could replace him in 2015. Some of the names may surprise you but of course some won’t. Either way it’s never a bad thing to be in action… Stephen Colbert +350 Chelsea Handler +600 Jon Stewart +600 Conan O’Brien +800 John Oliver +800 Neil Patrick Harris +800 Ellen DeGeneres +1200 Craig Ferguson +1500 Chris Rock +1500 Louis CK +2000 Tina Fey +2500 Amy Poehler +2500 Jimmy Kimmel +3000 Maya Rudolph +4000 Jerry Seinfeld +4000 Daniel Tosh +5000 Amy Schumer +5000 Drew Carey +5000 Kevin Hart +5000 Howard Stern +7500 Seth Meyers +7500 Michael Strahan +7500 Arsenio Hall +7500 Seth MacFarlane +7500 Ryan Seacrest +7500 Seth Green +10000 Jay Leno +10000 Larry David +10000 Mike Myers +10000 Lena Dunham +10000 Alec Baldwin +10000 Charlie Sheen +10000 Bill Simmons +25000...
3HL – Nashville...
posted by Todd
Your Final 4 preview in typical 3HL fashion…unorthodox but informational as always. Enjoy Click here to listen
Firing Squad
posted by Todd
We’re all of 1 day into the regular season (or maybe 9 I’m not really sure) but you get the general gist. There will obviously be skippers who don’t make it to the allstar break and what better way to speculate on that then with a few of your hard earned dollars. Here’s Bovada’s odds on manager to be fired first in 2014 SPECIAL – Who will be the first Manager fired during the 2014 Regular Season? John Gibbons 2/1 Kirk Gibson 5/2 Ned Yost 5/1 Terry Collins 5/1 Bo Porter 7/1 Mike Scioscia ...
How Sweet it Is…...
posted by Todd
no, I’m not referring to the fail proof roulette strategy employed by Ms Charissa Thompson during her visit to Las Vegas. Instead we dissected the round of 16 to identify a few money making opportunities. Given how my performance went through the first 2 rounds there’s always a chance that #FadeFuhrman will be trending at any time. Either way, enjoy ...
Prop Culture: Sweet 16...
posted by Todd
We’d only be kidding ourselves if we equated prop handle for the NCAA tournament to the Superbowl. Despite it’s lack of appeal to the masses, books haven’t ignored the revenue potential that exists. Here’s a small sampling of available props both here in town at the LVH and offshore at Bovada. Via LVH UCLA VS FLORIDA TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 14.0 -110 UNDER 14.0 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: KYLE ANDERSON (UCLA) OVER 13.5 -110 UNDER 13.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: SCOTTIE WILBEKIN (FLORIDA) OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 DAYTON VS STANFORD TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 11.5 -110 UNDER 11.5 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 13.0 -110 UNDER 13.0 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: DEVIN OLIVER (DAYTON) OVER 10.5 -110 UNDER 10.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: CHASSON RANDLE (STANFORD) OVER 17.5 -110 UNDER 17.5 -110 BAYLOR VS WISCONSIN TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 14.0 -110 UNDER 14.0 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 13.5 -110 UNDER 13.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: BRADY HESLIP (BAYLOR) OVER 11.5 -110 UNDER 11.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: FRANK KAMINSKY (WIS) OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 SAN DIEGO ST VS ARIZONA TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 9.5 -110 UNDER 9.5 -110 LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM OVER 15.0 -110 UNDER 15.0 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: XAVIER THAMES (SAN DIEGO ST) OVER 16.5 -110 UNDER 16.5 -110 TOTAL POINTS BY: AARON GORDON (ARIZONA) OVER 12.5 -110 UNDER 12.5 -110 U CONN VS IOWA ST TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH...