We haven’t seen a team as dominant as Kentucky in mens basketball in quite some time. Big Blue’s depth is reflected in futures odds posted by the Westgate Superbook given UK is just better than an even money proposition to cut down the nets. With one team leaps and bounds above the rest of the field, value is otherwise created on a bevy of other talented teams. The sides in bold are schools I think could be worth an investment…just hope they avoid Kentucky’s bracket when the field is announced a few months from now. 2014-15 MENS NCAA BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT LUCAS OIL STADIUM — INDIANAPOLIS, IN MONDAY, APRIL 6, 2015 ARIZONA 7 DUKE 7 FLORIDA 30 KANSAS 30 KENTUCKY 6-5 WISCONSIN 8 NORTH CAROLINA 30 WICHITA ST 30 VILLANOVA 25 LOUISVILLE 18 SMU 100 VIRGINIA 18 IOWA ST 40 MICHIGAN 60 MICHIGAN ST 60 SYRACUSE 75 VCU 100 GONZAGA 15 OHIO ST 75 OKLAHOMA 60 SAN DIEGO ST 60 TEXAS 40 UCLA 100 IOWA 200 NEBRASKA 200 OREGON 300 BAYLOR 300 U CONN 75 ARIZONA ST 300 ARKANSAS 75 CINCINNATI 300 COLORADO 300 DAYTON 300 FLORIDA ST 500 GEORGETOWN 200 GEORGIA 500 INDIANA 500 KANSAS ST 500 LSU 500 MARQUETTE 1000 MARYLAND 300 MEMPHIS 500 MIAMI FL 75 MINNESOTA 500 MISSOURI 1000 OKLAHOMA ST 300 OLE MISS 300 PITTSBURGH 200 PROVIDENCE 300 SETON HALL 300 ST LOUIS 2000 STANFORD 300 TENNESSEE 500 UNLV 500 UTAH 60 UTEP 1000 ALABAMA 500 GEORGIA TECH 500 ILLINOIS 100 NEW MEXICO 1000 NOTRE DAME 200 SOUTH CAROLINA 500 ST JOE’S 2000 ST JOHN’S 200 U MASS 300 USC 1000 VANDERBILT 500 WEST VIRGINIA 200 XAVIER 300 BYU 300 CALIFORNIA 300 CLEMSON 1000 COLORADO ST 500 CREIGHTON 500 DEPAUL 2000 GEORGE WASHINGTON 300 HARVARD 300 LASALLE 1000 LOUISIANA TECH...
Podcast
posted by Todd
As the season winds down so do some of the wagering opportunities. However, we’re here to continue sharing the best NFL betting information you can find anywhere on the net. Payneinsider and I covered not only tonight’s Falcons vs Packers game but as we always do went back and looked at the right results from Sunday. There were a few things we picked up on that should be of tremendous value to the upcoming Week 15 slate Subscribe on itunes Subscribe to the RSS sound cloud...
Week 15 Advanced Lines...
posted by Todd
Every week I’ve been making it a priority to post Advanced lines from the Westgate Superbook. This allows bettors to compare what the line “would have been” vs where it opens given a single game’s result. Given that I fell behind schedule this week I decided to include the current price in parenthesis alongside the advanced line for easy of viewing. As you can see there are quite a few interesting moves through key numbers. NFL WEEK 15 THURSDAY, DECEMBER 11, 2014 CARDINALS RAMS -2.5 (Current Rams -3.5) SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2014 RAIDERS CHIEFS -10 (Current Chiefs -10) JAGUARS RAVENS -12.5 (Current Ravens -13.5) STEELERS FALCONS -1.5 (Current Falcons PK) TEXANS COLTS -7 (Current Colts -6.5) BENGALS -2 (Current Bengals -1.5) BROWNS DOLPHINS PATRIOTS -7.5 (Current Patriots -7.5) BUCS PANTHERS -3.5 (Current Panthers -5.5) REDSKINS GIANTS -3.5 (Current Giants -6.5) PACKERS -6.5 (Current Packers -6) BILLS VIKINGS LIONS -7 (Current Lions -7.5) JETS (Current Jets -1) TITANS -3 BRONCOS -3.5 (Current Broncos -3.5) CHARGERS 49ERS SEAHAWKS -6.5 (Current Seahawks -9.5) COWBOYS EAGLES -4 (Current Eagles -3.5) MONDAY, DECEMBER 15, 2014 SAINTS -3.5 (Current Saints -3 EVEN)...
Bowl Lines
posted by Todd
Wynn was the first sportsbook in Las Vegas to open the laundry list of bowl game prices earlier this morning…here’s how the numbers looked when they hit the board aside from all of the New Year’s 6 bowl prices that were opened yesterday (listed at the bottom) New Orleans Bowl Nevada -3 vs UL Lafayette New Mexico Bowl Utah St -11 vs UTEP Las Vegas Bowl Utah -4 vs Colorado St Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Western Michigan -1.5 vs Air Force Camelia Bowl Bowling Green -1 vs South Alabama Miami Beach Bowl BYU -1 vs Memphis Boca Raton Bowl Marshall -11 vs Northern Illinois Poinsettia Bowl San Diego St -1.5 vs Navy Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky -4.5 vs Central Michigan Hawaii Bowl Fresno St -1 vs Rice Heart of Dallas Bowl Louisiana Tech -3 vs Illinois Quick Lane Bowl North Carolina -4 vs Rutgers St Petersburg Bowl Central Florida -2.5 vs NC State Military Bowl Cincinnati -3.5 vs Virginia Tech Sun Bowl Arizona St -8.5 vs Duke Independence Bowl South Carolina -1.5 vs Miami Pinstripe Bowl Boston College -3.5 vs Penn St Holiday Bowl USC -6 vs Nebraska Liberty Bowl West Virginia vs Texas A&M (No Line) Russel Athletic Bowl Clemson vs Oklahoma (No Line) Texas Bowl Arkansas -6 vs Texas Music City Bowl LSU -8.5 vs Notre Dame Belk Bowl Georgia -7.5 vs Louisville Foster Farms San Francisco Bowl Stanford -14 vs Maryland Outback Bowl Auburn -6 vs Wisconsin Citrus Bowl Missouri -6 vs Minnesota Armed Forces Bowl Pittsburgh -3 vs Houston Taxslayer Bowl Tennessee -3.5 vs Iowa Alamo Bowl Kansas St -3.5 vs UCLA Cactus Bowl Washington -6.5 vs Oklahoma St Birmingham Bowl Florida -8.5 vs East Carolina Go Daddy.com Bowl Toledo -1.5 vs Arkansas St Chick Fil-A Bowl TCU -3 vs...
Weekend Preview
posted by Todd
James Kempton is serving double duty this week, already sharing his mid-week report now followed by his weekend preview. Let the December fixture congestion begin in the EPL! Newcastle United v Chelsea Chelsea -1 and 2.5 Goals St James’ Park will be rocking for this one and after three tough games in a week maybe the strain will begin to show on this brittle Chelsea squad. Give me the home side here as they offer some good value given St James’ is not an easy place to visit let alone win by 2 goals. Hull City v West Bromwich Albion Hull City -0.25 and 2.5 goals Hull always tends to do well in these spots at home to fellow strugglers. Baggies boss Alan Irvine is under a lot of pressure and Steve Bruce targets these games as ‘must wins’ for Hull. It won’t be pretty but I’ve a heavy lean towards the home team and an unders ticket. I’m shocked the market there is as high as 2.5 goals albeit it with juice. Liverpool v Sunderland Liverpool -1 and 2.75 goals Love Liverpool in this spot after Sunderland have just played Chelsea and Man City in the past week. Chasing the ball will have sucked a lot out of their legs and Liverpool need to put a performance togethere here in front of their home crowd. Liverpool for me all day in this one. Queens Park Rangers v Burnley QPR -0.25 and 2.5 goals Rangers are far happier at the tight confines that Loftus Road provides them with then on the highway. Harry Redknapp will target these games and again you have to wonder how much three games in a week will take out of a thin Burnley side. This is a big game...
Podcast
posted by Todd
Another week and another podcast to break down the Thursday nighter between the Bears and Cowboys along with copious (yes copious) analysis of the weekend’s biggest games. Thanks to everyone that submitted questions again this week. We weren’t able to address all of them but will continue to revisit old inquiries when time allows. GL this weekend, no matter which games you’re betting. Subscribe on itunes Subscribe to the RSS sound cloud feed...
OTL Podcast
posted by Todd
It’s a sad day on the podcast when we have to talk about conference championships. No, not the championships themselves but because the end of the season is way too damn close. However we kept plugging along, sans KegsNEggs, this week to break down a short yet intriguing slate of games. Don’t look now but 4 best bet wins in a row for this guy…don’t call it a comeback just yet. Widget not appearing? Click here to listen to the call directly or follow the links below Listen below, listen on iTunes (where you should totally subscribe and tell others to subscribe) or listen on your Android device. Wherever you listen, we hope you enjoy. ...
Mid-Week Report
posted by Todd
A mid week treat for the futbol enthusiast as the EPL won’t keep us waiting until the weekend this time around. James Kempton is here to offer his thoughts on every single mid-week fixture. Burnley v Newcastle PK and Goals 2.25 Burnley roared back over the weekend and have now gone three games undefeated. Confidence and morale is always a big factor for teams at the bottom end of the table. Newcastle lost this weekend and given the handicap line I’ll back the home side in Burnley. Slight lean to the under on the goals but not much value. Leicester v Liverpool Liverpool -0.5 and Goals 2.5 Welcoming big teams to their home venue brings out the best for City in terms of their crowd inspired performance. This will be another big night under lights in Leicester and this Liverpool side is wobbling. I’m one to wait on the team news as I’d be a happier man backing Liverpool with Gerrard in their starting line up, even more so if he’s used further forward in their system. Man Utd v Stoke City Man United -1.25 and Goals 2.75 No Di Maria means no bet on United for me here despite how easily they brushed aside Hull this weekend even without the Argentinian. For Stoke, it’s another big game away from home within a short space of time so it’s hard to build a case for them. I do quite like the overs line though as I know both sides can cause each other’s defence a lot of issues! Swansea v QPR Swansea -0.75 and Goals 2.5 The Swans couldn’t beat Palace this weekend and here they welcome a QPR side who will be buoyed by their own weekend win vs Leicester. Swansea should have...
Podcast
posted by Todd
The Thanksgiving holiday is behind us…which means we’re gearing up for the stretch drive of the NFL regular season. While the stakes get higher for fans and franchises, for us as gamblers the agenda remains the same. PayneInsider are back with another installment of the Bet the Board podcast complete with a recap of a busy Sunday and full preview of tonight’s Monday night showdown between the Jets & Dolphins. As always if the soundcloud link in the post doesn’t work, there are other ways to enjoy our work. Subscribe on itunes Subscribe to the RSS sound cloud feed...
Nebraska Job
posted by Todd
The coaching carousel is in full swing with plenty of high profile jobs available this offseason. Bo Pelini was another such casualty this past weekend and there’s a laundry list of high profile names being thrown around to assume the reigns in Lincoln. Earlier today Bovada released their preliminary odds board of prospective candidates. No surprise that a former Husker man, current Oregon OC, Scott Frost is the leader in the clubhouse NCAA – Who will be the Head Coach of the Nebraska Cornhuskers for the 2015-2016 season? Scott Frost 5/2 Greg Schiano 15/4 Tom Herman 4/1 Pat Narduzzi 9/2 Jim McElwain 5/1 Jerry Kill 13/2 Matt Wells ...
Week 14 Advanced Lines...
posted by Todd
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2014 COWBOYS -3 BEARS SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7, 2014 RAVENS DOLPHINS -3 EVEN STEELERS BENGALS -3.5 COLTS -3 BROWNS TEXANS -3.5 JAGUARS GIANTS PK TITANS PANTHERS SAINTS -6.5 BUCS LIONS -9 RAMS PK REDSKINS JETS VIKINGS -5.5 BILLS BRONCOS -9.5 CHIEFS CARDINALS -3 EVEN 49ERS -7.5 RAIDERS SEAHAWKS EAGLES -1.5 PATRIOTS -3.5 CHARGERS MONDAY, DECEMBER 8, 2014 FALCONS PACKERS...
EPL Round-Up
posted by Todd
The man, the myth, the legend James Kempton is back to share his thoughts on the upcoming EPL weekend. Before you walk to the window this weekend, here are his game by game gambling capsules. West Brom v Arsenal Arsenal -0.75 Goals 2.75 Arsenal are still shooting at David De Gea as I type this and guess what? He is still blocking it! Wenger always averts a crisis so you just know his team will win this game and possibly quite handsomely. On the handicap line though I will stay away and stick to the Gunners outright. If the goal line ticks down to 2.5, then I will take the over but at the current line of 2.75 I will swerve. Burnley v Aston Villa Burnley -0.25 Goals 2.25 The battle of the Claret and Blues…can Burnley make it three wins on the bounce? Maybe but poor teams in the EPL don’t often reel off three victories in a row. Value wise Villa do offer the best side of the handicap line as they are well suited to playing on the break. Liverpool v Stoke Liverpool -0.75 Goals 2.75 Liverpool less than a goal favourite at home to a side that were beaten on their own home soil by Burnley last week? Oh how the mighty have fallen! Stoke are big strong, physical and dangerous at set pieces and for that reason alone I will take them +0.75 goals. Man United v Hull City United -1.5 Goals 3 People will laugh at me but there are signs of a reborn United, greenshoots of recovery some may say. Give me the home side to have far more attacking flair and creativity to ensure they cover the handicap line. On the goal line I would far rather have an overs ticket...