UFC 194 Aldo vs. McGregor: When Irish eyes are swollen Fight analysis provided by Gamblou There’s our hint for today’s fight card Enthusiasts. We love to side with ugly, mangy, stray, unwanted mongrels and have been prudent in our UFC releases in the past. Today we view this talent laden fight card as a major challenge insofar as we believe there is value to be obtained and it is our role to diagnose opportunity, obtain said value with the goal being to enhance our bottom line. Let’s see how today’s handicapping fares…. UFC 2015: 81-97-2 + $1,931.00 (All GambLou.com releases are understood to be a standard and hypothetical $100 per position unless otherwise stated. We employ $100 to easily track results as every GambLou.com release is accounted for each Monday AM. Public accounting allows us to display bottom line profitability while providing our readers with 110% disclosure). -Let’s Fight- Aldo -115 vs. McGregor -105 Jose Aldo is giving up some height, a bit of reach and a year to the loudmouthed, confident challenger in his title defense tonight. While we always acknowledge the advantages an understanding of the raw numbers in a fight of this magnitude (and almost all the fights on tonight’s slate) we also must employ our most trusted tool in handicapping fights and that is the 40 plus years of experience and basic ‘gut feel’ we’ve acquired. Here’s what our instinct tells us: McGregor is a forward pressing, aggressive lethal striker. As a southpaw he sports tremendous power with his straight left hand which he utilizes kicks and footwork to employ. He also sports a confidence and cockiness found only in young athletes who’ve meteorically shot to the top of their profession in short time, then begin to trust and believe...

Another week of Premier League action is upon us and an unusual fixture dominates the weekend schedule on Monday night.  To add logic and reason to the topsy turvy EPL climate is our very own insider James Kempton Looking for goals this weekend? Read his Goal Rush Column Seeking more in depth EPL analysis? Listen to his podcast Norwich City v Everton Pk and 2.5 goals The sides have met six time since December 2011 in EPL action and Yes on BTTS has gone 5-1 with four games ending all square and the away team winning none of the six. I can’t bet in this match market but I would lean towards Everton on a Pk line. If you think Everton will win the game then the over 2.5 goals bet would be the side to take in the goals market given the propensity of the Yes on BTTS to land. Crystal Palace v Southampton Pk and 2.25 goals I’m surprised to see Palace not installed as a favourite here but their home form has been consistently shaky this campaign. Southampton have won all four meetings of the sides in EPL action since September 2013 but they were made to struggle last Saturday at home by Villa. I do lean to the home team though on this line and am not put off betting the half time draw which has proved to be an ATM for backers this season in Palace games. Manchester City v Swansea City Man City -1.5 and 3 goals City have won the last four meetings of the sides and have scored at least twice (12 goals in total) in each of those games. City was without the spine of their team, Kompany, Toure and Aguerro all missing last week...

We know everyone missed us last Thursday with our comprehensive breakdown of the weekend card.  To show our appreciation for the loyal listeners we stepped it up a notch today with comprehensive analysis of the weekend’s biggest games and a few quick thoughts on how handle inevitable betting slumps.  Dave Mason shared his thoughts from behind the counter to complete a well rounded show. Listen to the podcast here every week or subscribe on SOUND CLOUD and ITUNES Still looking for an offshore option? BetOnline has special offers just for our...

All lines courtesy of the Westgate Superbook NFL WEEK 15 THURSDAY, DECEMBER 17, 2015 BUCS RAMS -1 SATURDAY, DECEMBER 18, 2015 JETS -3 EVEN COWBOYS SUNDAY, DECEMBER 20, 2015 BEARS VIKINGS -4 FALCONS PK JAGUARS TEXANS COLTS xxxx CHIEFS -5 RAVENS BILLS -1 REDSKINS TITANS PATRIOTS -10 CARDINALS -3.5 EAGLES PANTHERS -3.5 GIANTS BROWNS SEAHAWKS -13.5 PACKERS -3 -120 RAIDERS DOLPHINS CHARGERS -1 BRONCOS STEELERS -4.5 BENGALS -7 49ERS MONDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2015 LIONS SAINTS -1.5...

Sometimes life gets in the way of a good podcast.  Our apologies to the loyal listenership we’ve built over the last season and a half.  Hopefully your wagers still found their way into the win column for Week 13.  We’re back though with a full breakdown of a pivotal NFC east showdown coupled with comprehensive dialogue from the week that was.  PayneInsider also comes off the top ropes to land an elbow to the mid-section during our always popular movie reviews. Listen to the podcast here every week or subscribe on SOUND CLOUD and ITUNES Still looking for an offshore option? BetOnline has special offers just for our...

We’ve waited over three months to identify the four best teams in college football. Hopefully on the final Saturday of the regular season we’ll be given that clarity we’ve sought since April. Nevertheless when the committee unveiled their field on Tuesday night the playoff outlook became clear cut for Alabama, Clemson, Michigan State, and Iowa: win and you’re in. For North Carolina, Ohio State, Stanford, and the loser of the Big Ten championship waiting will indeed be the hardest part. Teams may have to wait but oddsmakers sit idle for no one and as things stand right now there’s no true consensus among them regarding the best four teams in the country. William Hill Bookmaker Westgate Cantor Todd #1 Clemson Alabama Alabama Alabama Oklahoma (t-1) #2 Iowa Oklahoma Oklahoma Clemson Alabama (t-1) #3 Oklahoma Clemson Ohio St Oklahoma Ohio St #4 Alabama Michigan St Clemson North Carolina Clemson #5 North Carolina Ohio St Baylor (t-5) Iowa Stanford (t-5) #6 Michigan St Iowa Ole Miss (t-5) Ohio St Ole Miss (t-5) #7 Notre Dame Stanford Stanford Michigan St Baylor #8 Stanford North Carolina Notre Dame Notre Dame Oregon (t-8) #9 Florida St Notre Dame Oregon Stanford Florida St (t-8) #10 Baylor Ole Miss Florida St (t-10) Oregon Notre Dame (t-8) Michigan St (t-10) Michigan (t-10) TCU (t-10) Tennessee (t-10)   Alabama, Oklahoma, and Clemson appear to be three of the top four teams oddsmakers agree on yet that’s where consensus stops. Whose next in the pecking order? is it Iowa, Michigan St/Ohio St out of the Big Ten or should we be considering Stanford and North Carolina very much in the mix? Fortunately for Hawkeye and Spartan fans the task at hand this weekend is simple; win. For those donning Scarlet and Grey, Tarheel Blue,...

The EPL season continues to fly by and for anyone late to the party this year’s table has a few unfamiliar names at the top.  James Kempton is here to provide a little reason in this topsy turvy season in the Premier League. Looking for more information on European domestic soccer? Read Jimmy’s Goal Rush column Stoke City v Manchester City Manchester City -0.75 and 2.75 goals After losing in January 2009 1-0 City have gone six games unbeaten at the Brittania but five of those were draws before last season’s 4-1 win. That game however was the only one of their 14 EPL meetings that saw four or more goals. Under 2.5 goals is 6-1 in the teams’ meetings in Stoke so I will take the unders here to repeat in what will be a tough game for the title contenders. The spine of Man City’s team all ruled out for tomorrow’s trip to Stoke. Buyer Beware! — JimmyK (@ukbettingpro) December 4, 2015 Arsenal v Sunderland Arsenal -1.75 and 3 goals Arsenal are unbeaten in the last eleven meetings of the two teams but Sunderland frustrated the Gunners in May with the game finishing goalless in North London. In fact under 2.5 goals is 5-2 in the last seven meetings of the teams in the capital city. With players falling down injured at every turn, The Emirates currently resembles a scene from Platoon. Arsenal just need to win games and if that means winning ugly then so be it. I lean to the under here but I can’t get involved in a tricky looking match line. Manchester United v West Ham United Manchester United -1.25 and 2.5 goals West Ham have already won at Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Liverpool and Manchester City this season,...

It’s never conventional but always entertaining when it comes to the weekly spot with 3HL in Nashville.  Plenty of college football dialogue with some NFL mixed in.  As always off the wall numbers as well with a smattering of pop culture...

We all know about the unspoken rules in sports: don’t stare down a pitcher after hitting a homerun in baseball, don’t take a run at a star player in hockey, and don’t bang a former teammate’s wife in the NBA. These generally accepted norms don’t need to be written down in a players handbook…they’re passed down through generations and become essential in maintaining the status quo. Gambling is different; you have  players of different ability levels unaware of how you’re theoretically supposed to behave in the community. Here are a few helpful hints on behaviors that scream amateur hour should you choose to be that guy Don’t past post winners Sharing games before they kickoff is great, it generally shows that magnanimous spirit to like minded individuals respecting your opinions. Don’t feel like doing that?  There’s nothing that says gamblers need to make their wagers available for public consumption. However, don’t be an asshole and tell your buddies about all the winners you had only after they go final. First off, no one’s going to believe you but more importantly nobody cares. If you’re betting to gain the approval of others switch to arts and crafts, that way you’ll have a tangible end product to leave on a coffee table allowing you to show it off for the next 20 years. Pay Your Debts Not everyone bets in Vegas. Hell 99.9% of you that will read this article most likely play through local bookmakers. There’s no bigger scumbag move than walking out on your debt. Whether it’s $100, $1,000, or $10,000 when you’re down money act like an adult and pay it off. Even if you’ve dug yourself a hole that can’t be paid off in one lump sum come up with a payment...

Everyone’s a little lethargic after a long holiday weekend.  In this business we’re not afforded that luxury meaning Payne and I brought our A game…kind of.  Complete analysis of the games we saw over the weekend and what it means moving forward.  Surprises, disappointments, underachievers; it’s all on the Monday spectacular along with a full preview of tonight’s pillow fight between Cleveland and Baltimore Listen to the podcast here every week or subscribe on SOUND CLOUD and ITUNES Still looking for an offshore option? BetOnline has special offers just for our listeners...

All lines courtesy of Westgate Superbook THURSDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2015 PACKERS -6 Lions SUNDAY, DECEMBER 6, 2015 49ERS BEARS -7 EVEN BENGALS -7 BROWNS JAGUARS TITANS -2.5 TEXANS BILLS xxxx RAVENS DOLPHINS -6.5 PANTHERS -3.5 SAINTS SEAHAWKS -1.5 VIKINGS CARDINALS -5.5 RAMS FALCONS -1.5 BUCS JETS GIANTS -1.5 BRONCOS -6 CHARGERS CHIEFS -2.5 RAIDERS EAGLES PATRIOTS -9.5 COLTS STEELERS -6.5 -120 MONDAY, DECEMBER 7, 2015 COWBOYS -3 EVEN REDSKINS    ...

A full weekend of EPL action is on the docket and James Kempton is here to give you all his gambling thoughts. Aston Villa v Watford Pk and 2.25 goals The big question going into this game is how on earth are Aston Villa going to score a goal? This issue will not be helped by the benching of young Jack Grealish for his off field indiscretions as he is one of the few creative players that Villa possess. The Hornets will look to keep it tight early and play on the nervousness of the home crowd so I will take a piece of the under 2.25 goals. AFC Bournemouth v Everton Pk and 2.5 goals A pal of mine, Big Dave, is a staunch Everton fan and is convinced they will be a top four team in the near future. I think that is a bit over the top but they have certainly improved greatly of late. Their 4-0 win last Saturday over Aston Villa was just their first clean sheet in seven games but against that awful Villa forward line does that clean sheet even count? On a Pk line I can’t back Everton but I do lean towards the overs on the goal line. Crystal Palace v Newcastle United Crystal Palace -0.75 and 2.5 goals What a difference a year makes in football for Alan Pardew’s Eagles, hosting Newcastle and their under fire head coach Steve McLaren. Pardew left Palace last Christmas and the teams have been on opposite trajectories ever since. Both of last seasons’ meetings ended all square and in 2013-14 the Magpies did a double to nil but much of this was Pardew inspired. At minus three quarters of a goal I lean to the home team but...