He made magic for us in the Derby like he’s done so many years before we’re getting spoiled around here. KyDerbyJay returns for the second jewel of the Triple Crown with comprehensive analysis of the 11 horse field at Pimlico. 1 — Cherry Wine – Was an also-entry for the Derby, but failed to draw into the race. Solid jockey/trainer combo of Lanerie/Romans alone merits a look. Third last out in the Bluegrass Stakes to Derby also-ran Brody’s Cause. Would need to take a major step forward to have a shot here, but in a race where looking for contenders for the bottom part of exotics is no easy task, he could offer significant value with a ground-saving rail trip. 2 — Uncle Lino – Half-brother to Nyquist, and that’s likely where the comparisons stop. Looked good winning last out at Los Alamitos, but not sure that he faced too much. Should be the early leader, but seems unlikely he will have it easy, and figures to succumb to Nyquist by the top of the stretch, beginning a descent to the back of the pack. 3 — Nyquist – Prohibitive favorite who will run away with it if he runs anything close to his typical race. Pace scenario seems advantageous and he’s just more talented and faster than the majority of these here. The #3 post is totally ideal, and could offer the only scenario that sees him falter if he gets squeezed back at the start, and finds himself a lot farther off the lead than he is used to. That possibility aside, he figures to be racing at Belmont in three weeks with a Triple Crown on the line. 4 — Awesome Speed – Winner via DQ of the Federico Tesio last...
3HL – Nashville...
posted by Todd
The weekly installment of betting banter disguised as entertaining radio. Brief breakdown of the SEC outlook along with a random assortment of other content including me referring to a 30 year old goalie as “young.”...
Championship Sunday
posted by Todd
It’s the final Sunday of the Premier League season and unfortunately it comes with less drama than we’ve grown accustomed to recently. Heart felt thank you to James Kempton for yet again providing awesome analysis every week of the season yet again. His insight and analysis is second to none when it comes to game capsules on each weekend fixture. Let’s hope we can land him here on the site for yet another season. Feel free to step into his mentions and goad him into some EuroCup analysis as well!!! Arsenal v Aston Villa Arsenal -2.25 and 3.5 goals The curtain falls on another wretched season full of disappointment and fan anger. It’s not been much better for Aston Villa either! Arsenal have won the last four meetings of the sides to nil by a total of 14-0 which funnily enough is the score that they would need to win by here, if Spurs draw at Newcastle, to finish second. This market and goal line is comparable to the lines we saw with the Luis Suarez led Liverpool side of a couple of seasons ago. Olivier Giroud is no Suarez! I can’t stomach the away team even with the huge start they receive but happy for a little piece of the unders. Chelsea v Leicester City Chelsea -0.25 and 2.75 goals If the sight of Andrea Bocelli singing for Claudio Ranieri turned you to tears then get ready for a repeat as there will be an enormous amount of love shown for the ‘Tinker Man’ at Stamford Bridge. It’s hard to assess the drive and determination of the Foxes given the outpouring of emotion last weekend when they received the trophy. I will repeat though what I’ve said on numerous occasions this season, nothing...
Dude’s Activity Alternatives...
posted by Todd
Bachelor parties have been done…and in Vegas they’re almost becoming a cliché in certain circles. Sure, we all came here in our early 20’s to get drunk as shit, go to nightclubs, and spend our few remaining bucks at a strip club until 7 all the while falling in love with girls named after spices. Trust me, I’m all for this kind of debauchery because our window as guys closes all too soon but there are other legitimate “dude options” in Vegas. Here are a few different activities worth exploring with buddies the next time you head out to the desert. Fast Kart There’s no better way to turn back the clock and ramp up the competition levels than sucking down exhaust from serious horsepower go karts. The track is anything but easy to navigate and offers the racer in all of us a real challenge to rattle off top speeds without careening into tire barriers. It’s a quick Uber/Cab ride from the strip and in the sweltering summer heat you’ll appreciate the shelter of being inside with a chance to run your buddies off the road Shooting Ranges Option 1 Option 2 There are two very good options to shoot some heavy artillery right off the strip. Depending on what you’re after whether it’s assault rifles, machine gunes, or something more exotic one of these two locations will offer up the firearm of your choice. Make sure to call ahead, there are plenty of group deals to be found Paint Balling Option 1 Option 2 There’s no better way than taking out frustrations on your buddies than burying a few paintballs in the side of their skull. Unfortunately these venues aren’t that close to the strip but if you’re willing to take a...
Mid-Week Report
posted by Todd
The marathon that is the Premier League is winding down as most teams face at most two remaining league fixtures. For our EPL insider James Kempton the hard work and heavy lifting is almost over. However before we give him a proper send off he still has a few more wagering thoughts to offer for Wednesday’s matches. Norwich City v Watford Norwich -0.5 and 2.5 goals The Canaries need to win here and hope results go their way in other fixtures to avoid relegation. Thankfully there is not a better team for them to welcome to Carrow Road than this Watford side who seem to be freewheeling into the summer. Uncertainties over who will manage them next season seem to affecting the Hornets as recent results have been less than impressive. If Watford had been in even a semblance of form I’d look to side with them on this line but after just two wins in their last ten outings, I just can’t do it. Not that I’m rushing in on the home team although if I had to bet this game, which obviously nobody does, I’d side with the under. Sunderland v Everton Sunderland -0.75 and 2.75 goals Win and they’re safe is the carrot being dangled in front of Big Sam’s Sunderland men ahead of this game. Who better to welcome to town then than this doormat looking Everton side who appear to let everyone trample all over them. However, the Toffees are 7-7-2 against fellow bottom half sides whilst Sunderland have won just five of sixteen games in this same spot. I’ve been a huge critic of Roberto Martinez but this line is nonsense. I could stomach the home side being priced a quarter goal favourite but not three quarters of...
Kentucky Derby
posted by Todd
He’s one of the best in the business when it comes to breaking down the triple crown races. We’re thankful to bring him back yet again this year to offer his comprehensive analysis of every single horse in the field highlighted by his official picks and a few match-ups worth investing in come race day. Follow KyDerbyJay on Twitter 1) Trojan Nation — Trying to become first horse to break his maiden with Derby win in over 80 years. Seems highly unlikely. Did run gamely in the Wood, but don’t think that was much of a field. Don’t see anything to recommend. 2) Suddenbreakingnews — The Arkansas Derby runner-up could offer some value to the back end of exotic tickets, as he’s likely to be doing his best running late. Think he’s a bit behind the top players, but is one to keep an eye on. 3) Creator — The Arkansas Derby winner is another who should be flying in the lane. Trackside reports have been raving about this guy has been training, and he’s eligible to take a big step forward. Could it be enough to grab the roses? 4) Mo Tom — Was well beaten last out in the Louisiana Derby, and would need to make a major improvement just to hit the board here. Don’t like his chances at all. 5) Gun Runner — Winner of 4 of 5 races, including last out in an impressive Louisiana Derby performance. Seems to have the tactical style and an advantageous post position that can put him in a strong position to win this race. I expect this guy to be ready for a career-best effort in his third start of the season, and...
EPL Weekend
posted by Todd
The championship drama might be over with Tottenham’s collapse on Monday but there are still money making opportunities with the remaining fixtures. James Kempton is here to finish out the grind with complete betting analysis of every weekend match-up. Norwich City v Manchester United Man United -0.5 and 2.5 goals Norwich had that famous 2-1 victory at Old Trafford when the sides met on the Saturday before Christmas. Prior to that though United had registered four successive victories to nil against the Canaries. Norwich are just 2-4-7 against the top third and they’ve failed to score in six of those thirteen games. United have a mixed record against the bottom third teams as they are 6-3-5 in this spot. In a game that offers minimal betting appeal I’d probably lean to the under 2.5 goals as United are sure to make sure the back door is shut before they attempt to unlock the front door. Aston Villa v Newcastle United Newcastle -0.75 and 2.5 goals It was 1-1 earlier this season when the sides met in the north east and that continued a run that has seen the last four meetings of the sides go under 2.5 goals and three of those went under the total. Newcastle are unbeaten in the last nine EPL meetings of the teams and it’s hard to make a case for them breaking that sequence here. Newcastle are 2-2-14 on the road and have a goal difference of -29 on their travels yet are priced as -0.75 favourites. Given those trends it’s hard to back this Newcastle side to win away from home…….unless they are playing Aston Villa. Greater need and greater desire makes players run further, tackle harder, and fight like lions. Games between the poorest sides in...
EPL Preview
posted by Todd
The season continues to wind down and Leicester City has a chance to finish the impossible dream on Sunday. A club flirting with relegation just a season ago is damn near close to finishing the season atop the Premier League table having opened the season with odds as high as 5000-1. This is why we love sport; just when we think we’ve seen it all something beyond our realm of comprehension unfolds. Jimmy is back to provide analysis on every single weekend fixture Everton v Bournemouth Everton -0.5 and 2.75 goals The style with which Roberto Martinez managed teams play requires a huge amount of bravery and confidence from his players and that will be a problem this weekend. Patience is running thin at Goodison Park and every pass that goes astray will be met with howls of derision. Bournemouth travel north in party mood knowing the beaches of their summer holidays are within touching distance. Give me the away side to put a good showing in at what’ll be a nervous tense and fractious atmosphere on Merseyside. Bournemouth all the way for me. Newcastle v Crystal Palace Newcastle -0.5 and 2.5 goals This is a massive game for Newcastle and after recent positive showings they should be very confident of getting a result here. Alan Pardew will want his side to put in a good performance traveling to his old stomping ground but surely their attentions are beginning to turn to that FA Cup Final. This should be a very tactical encounter as Pardew is in many way very similar to Rafa Benitez in how he sets his teams up. Give me a piece of the under 2.5 goals in this game as a pretty solid looking proposition. Stoke City v Sunderland PK...
Season 6 Props
posted by Todd
Game of Thrones is one of the most popular shows on television…and it just got better. Offshore sportsbook Bovada opened up a handful of wagering propositions to make your viewing of Season 6 that much more enjoyable and hopefully profitable. These props naturally take low limits since there are people who know the winners and are more for entertainment purposes than anything else. However there’s nothing wrong with plunking down a $20 spot just to keep yourself even more engaged Here’s the list of what’s currently available Which character will perish next? Jorah Mormont 4/1 Alliser Thorne 15/2 Ramsay Snow 8/1 Sansa Stark 8/1 Theon Greyjoy 8/1 Podrick Payne 10/1 Brienne of Tarth 11/1 Daario Naharis 18/1 Grey Worm 18/1 High Sparrow 18/1 Ellaria Sand 22/1 Jaime Lannister 25/1 Loras Tyrell 25/1 Margaery Tyrell 25/1 Tommen Baratheon 25/1 Drogon 30/1 Lady Melisandre 30/1 Missandei 30/1 Olenna Tyrell 30/1 Lord Varys 33/1 Bronn 40/1 Petyr Baelish 40/1 Arya Stark 50/1 Cersei Lannister 50/1 Davos 50/1 Samwell Tarly 50/1 Tyrion Lannister 50/1 Daenerys Targaryen 75/1 Jaquen H’ghar 75/1 When will Arya Stark regain her sight in Season 6? Episode 2 10/1 Episode 3 5/1 Episode 4 5/1 Episode 5 3/1 Episode 6 2/1 Episode 7-10 7/4 Who will be the ruling King or Queen of Westeros at the end of the series? Jon Snow 5/2 Daenerys Targaryen 3/1 Aegon VI Targaryen 6/1 Tyrion Lannister 7/1 Petyr Baelish 15/2 Bran or Rickon Stark 16/1 Margaery Tyrell 18/1 Sansa Stark 20/1 Varys 20/1 Euron Greyjoy 25/1 Night’s King 30/1 Stannis Baratheon 33/1 Arya Stark 50/1 Cersei Lannister 50/1 Ramsay Bolton (Snow) 66/1 Hodor ...
Weekend Preview
posted by Todd
Even with an abridged slate of fixtures our man across the pond James Kempton is here to share his thoughts for the weekend Bournemouth v Chelsea Chelsea -0.25 and 2.75 goals If ever a game offered zero betting appeal then this is probably it. Bournemouth had that famous 1-0 victory at Stamford Bridge last December which drove one of the final nails into Jose Mourinho’s Chelsea coffin. If the Blues’ high profile big name players had any pride then they would travel down to the south coast and pick off the Cherries in this game. The problem is that all season long they’ve shown they don’t have much pride and now the rotation of fringe squad and youth players makes it a lottery at even picking their team, let alone their performance level. Liverpool v Newcastle United Liverpool -1 and 3 goals If the endless fan montages and singing of ‘You’ll Never Walk Alone’ began to make you feel bilious before the Europa League tie against Borussia Dortmund then look away now. Rafa returns to Anfield and there is sure to be an outpouring of love for the ‘Spanish Waitor’. There have been at least two goals in eighteen of the last nineteen EPL meetings of the sides. Liverpool have won nine and drawn one of the last ten EPL meets at Anfield and this game back on April 1996 saw the Premiership’s finest ever game! Liverpool are 8-2–3 against the bottom third placed teams but I can’t trust them laying a full goal ahead of the big Europa League Semi Final. I will take a piece of the overs though on the goal line as it seems the more Klopp changes his team the more the goals fly in! Sunderland v Arsenal Arsenal...
Integrity of Sports
posted by Todd
Yesterday marked another landmark day in the ongoing quest for sports gambling legalization. The American Gaming Association hosted a summit on Capitol Hill bringing in some of the industry’s most respected voices working to protect the integrity of sport. One of the biggest obstacles national legalization continues to combat is circulation of misinformation. With decision makers improperly informed on the topic progress is tough to come by but thanks to the AGA things are changing. Here’s the press release provided by the AGA offering a brief synopsis of the day’s events and their ongoing mission Experts Gather on Capitol Hill to Protect the Integrity of Sports Illegal, unregulated, untracked sports betting estimated to exceed $100 Billion in United States annually Washington, D.C. – As the United States nears 25 years with a federal law that has driven trillions of dollars in sports betting to the black market, experts from around the globe gathered at a standing-room-only event on Capitol Hill today to discuss the threat unregulated gambling poses to the integrity of professional and amateur sports. The event, “The World of Sports Betting and Safeguarding Sports Integrity,” highlighted how technology is used in regulated sports betting markets to detect nefarious behavior and featured luminaries such as the former CEO of the Liverpool Football Club and a former United Kingdom sports minister. Led by Genius Sports Group, a technology company that monitors and identifies suspicious betting patterns, and the American Gaming Association (AGA), the trade group representing the casino gaming industry, experts from law enforcement, academia, professional sports leagues and government highlighted a broken federal law that encourages illicit activity and threatens the integrity of sports. Current law prohibits traditional sports betting outside of Nevada. “The lack of data collection, information sharing and transparency in America’s...
EPL Mid Week Report
posted by Todd
It’s time for a little bonus EPL with relegation races and the title chase heating up with only a few fixtures left. James Kempton offers a few thoughts on where you can find value with the mid-week games. Newcastle United v Manchester City Manchester City -1 and 2.75 goals It was 6-1 to City back in October and they’ve won each of their last six trips to St James’ Park by exactly two clear goals. Despite all that’s happened this season the home team will see this as an opportunity for them to gain momentum that they can then use on the relegation run in and they will be cheered on by a forgiving home crowd. City just look too potent going forward though so if the Geordies are going to get anything then they will have to be expansive in their style of play. I expect big man Mitrovic to play and for the Black & Whites to be direct and play on the sometimes shaky City backline. Give me over 2.75 goals and I lean to the away team to take this maybe 3-1. West Ham United v Watford West Ham -0.75 and 2.5 goals Watford won 2-0 at Vicarage Road when the sides met back in October but you have to believe this will be a much changed Hornets team that takes the field for this game. All of their focus is quite rightly, whatever Qiques Sanchez Flores may say to the contrary, is on that Sunday FA Cup Semi Final against Crystal Palace. West Ham will carry the momentum from that game at Leicester on Sunday into this fixture and I believe they will win and cover this line comfortably. Liverpool v Everton Liverpool -0.75 and 2.5 goals Everton have...