Market Watch
By Bruce Friedman (Follow him on twitter @notthefakebruce)
BUY:
Syracuse
(2-25 @UConn, 3-3 Louisville)
Amidst a 1-4 ATS streak, Cuse heads to Storrs for a primetime game against the disappointing Huskies who they should handle no problem. However, we never know what to expect from UConn: the unexpected however the 2-3 zone from the Orange will hamper Uconn’s shooting all night long. Syracuse then returns home to face the Cardinals who they really want to beat in their own building. The two teams played to a 1 pt game earlier this month and rest assured the Orange will not be distracted on senior day. Look for the Cuse to come out swinging in their regular season finale and keep Louisville playing from behind the entire afternoon.
SELL:
North Carolina
(2-25 @Virginia, 2-29 Maryland, 3-3 @Duke)
UNC has been on a tear lately but have two games this week that could end up as landmines before finishing the season at Duke. The Heels travel to Charlottesville today in a game that should be much closer than the experts and general public believe. Roy Williams and company comes home Wednesday to face Maryland but will have Duke on their minds in an obvious sandwich spot. To close out the year UNC takes on their bitter rival Duke and although I have them listed as a sell, they could offer some value for that contest if they struggle in their next 2 games.
Notre Dame
(2-25 @St. John’s, 2-27 @Georgetown, 3-2 Providence)
The Irish have been dominant the latter part of the season going 8-1 ATS. They are coming off a drubbing against the Mountaineers but now have two straight road games against St. John’s and Georgetown before finishing the year at home against Providence. I feel that ND will have some trouble on the road in these two contests since the team is clearly over valued right now. However, the regular season finale against Providence could offer even more value since the Irish will be listed as double digit favorites. Mike Brey has done a tremendous job this year however his luck covering the number will run out over the final week.
Marquette
(2-24 @Cincinnati, 3-3 Georgetown)
Wow what a week for Marquette; two tough road games and a home finale against Georgetown. The Golden Eagles had an impressive comeback win last night to take out WVU in Morgantown. However, they may not be so fortunate when they head to the Queen City to take on a revenge minded Bearcat side. Quette finishes the year with a home date against the Hoyas that could spell fatigue as they head to Manhattan for the Big East tournament.
Wichita State
(2-25 Drake)
6-1 ATS last seven and a virtual lay-up against Drake to close out the Shockers improbable run. Again, when it looks easy to lay a huge price tag be leery especially in a game that means absolutely nothing. Will the Shockers win? Sure but the name of our game is covering the spread and I don’t see them doing that this afternoon.
