EPL Round 8
James Kempton is back with his weekly installment of game capsules for another busy EPL Weekend…
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C Palace v West Brom
Palace -0.75 Goals 2.25
I am high on Palace this season under Pardew but I am not keen on laying this extra quarter goal. The line should only be -0.5 so give me a bit more Pulis love this weekend back at his old stomping ground Selhurst Park.
Aston Villa v Stoke
Villa -0.25 Goals 2.25
The last three meetings of the teams have seen away wins including two wins for Stoke at Villa Park. In fact Stoke are unbeaten in their last five trips to take on Villa. I’d want at least a PK line before I even considered backing Villa. Give me the Potters to keep this away run going in the fixture.
Bournemouth v Watford
Bournemouth -0.5 Goals 2.5
Both games went under 2.5 goals last season and the Cherries won this match up 2-0. Watford season ticket holders better hope they stay up as the way their home games are going if they don’t stay up then it’ll have been a season of boring football for nothing! Under 2.5 goals or pass here.
Man City v Newcastle
City -1.75 Goals 3.25
The last five meetings of the sides have been won by City all to nil and they have won the last eleven straight stretching back to January 2009 outscoring Newcastle 32-5. That’s all I need to know for this one… Take City minus the goals.
Norwich v Leicester
Norwich -0.25 Goals 2.5
My pre season decision to fade Leicester has taken a while to start coming through but finally it seems to be paying off in spades. I like the Yes on BTTS here in a match that in truth has little appeal to me.
Sunderland v West Ham
West Ham -0.25 Goals 2.5
West Ham have one win and a draw in the last two seasons at the Stadium of Light. It’s hard to back West Ham on this line despite their strong away form and the problems of the home team. It’s West Ham for god sake! A very small lean to the home team but good lord they need Sam Allardyce and they need the Fat Man soon!
Chelsea v Southampton
Chelsea -0.75 Goals 2.5
There has been just one home win at Stamford Bridge when these sides have met the last 3 times. Yes on BTTS has cashed in all three of those and is 5-1 in the 6 meetings of the clubs since January 2013. Give me the Saints here as the value in this game as its likely they score and hoping Chelsea can’t net three without Diego Costa.
Everton v Liverpool
Pk Goals 2.5
The last three seasons has seen this game finish all square at Goodison Park and Liverpool are unbeaten in the last nine EPL meetings of the teams. The trends suggest the away win is the only play but what you see with your eyes suggests it’s a risky play.
Arsenal v Man Utd
Arsenal -0.5 Goals 2.5
Arsenal have won NONE of the last four meets at The Emirates and have won just one of the last thirteen Premiership matches. I’m not backing this Arsenal team against any elite opposition this season at this line and price. They may win the game but at this number all the value is with the Red Devils.
Swansea v Spurs
Pk Goals 2.5
Spurs have won seven straight meetings dating back to April 2012 and Yes on BTTS along with over 2.5 goals has gone 5-2 in those games. This should be a very open, attractive and exciting game. The trends suggest overs but I’m wondering if Swansea will be able to wear this youthful and exuberant Tottenham team down. I really like the away win here.
