Tourney Props

Posted by Todd on Mar 24, 2015 in NCAAB

…and then there were 16 teams left dancing into the 2nd weekend of the big dance.  Already we’re seeing some interesting betting trends beginning to emerge for the Sweet 16 highlighted by 2 huge public favorites both going in the late time slot Friday Night (Michigan St & Duke).  Don’t believe me? Here’s early thoughts from Kevin Bradley of Bovada on the Duke game

“Not much has changed after the first weekend of the Madness with Kentucky leading the way at even money to win it all and haveingtaken four times more money than the next team. Duke seems to be the trendy pick right now behind the play of Jahlil Okafor who we have dropped from 14/1 to 10/1 to win tournament MOP. Looking at the Sweet 16 games there is that common trend with Duke taking over 90% of the action right now -5 over Utah and I expect that to be our biggest decision of the round.”

-Kevin Bradley, Sports Book Manager, bovada.lv

Bradley highlights what most of us in the industry have always known to be true come March; it’s not what you’ve done all season but rather what you’ve done lately that steer public betting trends.  Along with the customary betting markets Bovada has a handful of other props available to the casual bettor looking to get a quick fix.

Odds to win Tournament MOP 

Willie Cauley-Stein (Kentucky)                            4/1

Karl-Anthony Towns (Kentucky)                          7/1

Trey Lyles (Kentucky)                                        15/2

Aaron Harrison (Kentucky)                                 10/1

Jahlil Okafor (Duke)                                           10/1

Andrew Harrison (Kentucky)                               12/1

Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin)                              12/1

Brandon Ashley (Arizona)                                   16/1

Stanley Johnson (Arizona)                                 16/1

T.J. McConnell (Arizona)                                    16/1

Kyle Wiltjer (Gonzaga)                                       16/1

Sam Dekker (Wisconsin)                                    20/1

Justise Winslow (Duke)                                      20/1

Quinn Cook (Duke)                                            25/1

Branden Dawson (Michigan State)                      25/1

Kevin Pangos (Gonzaga)                                   25/1

Travis Trice (Michigan State)                              25/1

Montrezl Harrell (Louisville)                                 40/1

Terry Rozier (Louisville)                                      40/1

Fred VanVleet (Wichita State)                             40/1

Delon Wright (Utah)                                           40/1

Ron Baker (Wichita State)                                  50/1

Marcus Paige (UNC)                                          50/1

Jerian Grant (Notre Dame)                                  66/1

Buddy Hield (Oklahoma)                                    66/1

K Trevor Lacey (NC State)                                  66/1

ennedy Meeks (UNC)                                         66/1

Ralston Turner (NC State)                                   66/1

Bryce Alford (UCLA)                                          150/1

Matt Stainbrook (Xavier)                                    150/1

Norman Powell (UCLA)                                      200/1

Juwan Staten (West Virginia)                              200/1

 

How Many #1 seeds will make the Final 4 of the 2015 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?  

Over                             1½  (-150, 2/3)

Under                           1½ (+110, 11/10)

How Many #1 seeds will make the Final 4 of the 2015 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship?  

0                              6/1

1                              3/2

2                              5/4

3                              11/2

4                              15/1

What seed will the 2015 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champion be?                               

#1                                 4/7

#2                                 3/1

#3                                 10/1

#4                                 14/1

#5                                 14/1

#6                                 100/1

#7                                 10/1

#8                                 50/1

#10 or higher                 100/1

What will be the highest margin of victory in the Sweet 16 of the 2015 NCAA Tournament?

Over/Under                       16½

Team Name Special – Will a team with an animal nickname in the 2015 NCAA Tournament?

Yes                  -400     (1/4)

No                    +250     (5/2)

* Animals = Kentucky, Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Louisville, NC State, UCLA

Will either #8 NC State or # 11 UCLA make the Final Four of the 2015 NCAA Tournament?         

Yes                  +350     (7/2)

No                    -600     (1/6)