EPL Round 27
He’s back with a high level look of the weekend’s EPL fixtures; snapshot gambling analysis from the one and only James Kempton.
West Ham United v Crystal Palace
West Ham -0.5 and 2.25 goals
Both sides will feel hard done to repeat the results they gained in London derbies last weekend. Trust Big Sam and his men on this half goal line to deliver the goods for a Hammers victory.
Burnley v Swansea City
Pk and 2.25 goals
At this stage of the season churning out points is the name of the game for Burnley. I can’t back Swansea in these spots to win the game but they have lost just one of five away games this season to sides in the bottom half of the table. Give me the draw and I like unders on the goal line.
Manchester United v Sunderland
Manchester United -1.25 and 2.5 goals
How will Poyet set his side up for this one? At a guess I’d say defensively! An early goal could open the flood gates but this United team has struggled to break teams down of late. I lean towards the home team on the match market and the goal markets also appear tough to figure.
Newcastle United v Aston Villa
Newcastle -0.5 and 2.25 goals
A game between two sides in free fall and Villa will see this as an excellent opportunity to grab all three points. All the value is with the away team but it’s a brave man who backs them. Especially when Newcastle are focused on gaining a win that would all but secure their Premiership status.
Stoke City v Hull City
Stoke -0.5 and 2.25 goals
Seven points from their last three games have lifted Hull out of the drop zone and eased the pressure on Steve Bruce. Stoke have lost three of six home games this season against bottom half placed sides so the home team are vulnerable in this spot. This game is priced bang on the money according to the stats but my eyes tell me there is great value on the home win.
West Bromwich Albion v Southampton
Southampton -0.25 and 2 goals
A point here would be viewed as an excellent result for the Baggies so Albion will set up cautiously. The Saints have conceded just six goals in their last ten league games and have allowed just five goals in twelve matches against lower half of the table placed opposition. Can’t believe I’m saying this but going under 2 goals is where the value exists here.
Liverpool v Manchester City
Pk and 2.75 goals
The away side has not won a fixture between these two sides in any of the last twelve EPL meetings! Not many sporting venues can match Anfield for a big match atmosphere and given the home teams recent good form it would seem foolish to go against the home team. Liverpool or nothing for me.
Arsenal v Everton
Arsenal -1 and 2.75 goals
This Everton team is a far cry from the ones that used to battle Arsene Wenger’s men and exert their physicality over the Gunners. Arsenal should open up this shaky Everton team up at will. Any team that concedes twice at home to Leicester should be in for a long day at The Emirates. Arsenal to cover.
