EPL Round 24
It’s another busy weekend of EPL fixtures to get those gambling juices flowing. James Kempton is back to share his analysis and leanings on every single match. As always you can get more from him by listening to his podcast here.
Spurs v Arsenal (Arsenal -0.25 / 2.75)
I really like the home team in this spot as they’ve already shown this year against Chelsea that they can rise to the big occasion. Arsenal hammering Aston Villa so emphatically on TV last week should ensure that all the value is with the home team.
Aston Villa v Chelsea (Chelsea -1.25 goals 2.5)
It’s a brave man who would ever lay one and a half goals on the road in the Premiership. However, how can you realistically believe Villa find the back of the net? Chelsea will get back to their winning ways here and they should cover the handicap line.
Leicester City v Crystal Palace (Leicester -0.25 goals 2.25)
In a relegation dogfight I’d always try and have the draw on my side. When the better side is on the receiving end of the quarter goal though then it’s a no brainer for me. Palace or no bet and this game could see some goals, much like Palace’s recent trip to Burnley.
Manchester City v Hull City (Man City -2 goals 3)
City need a good performance in front of the home fans following their recent wobble. Who better to host than the pitiful Tigers from Hull? Has a clubs nickname ever been in such contrast to the way their team performs on the pitch? This line should be more around the -2.5 mark so I will take the home team to cover.
QPR v Southampton (Southampton -0.75 goals 2.5)
So long ‘arry and it looks a massive job now for this Rangers side to avoid the drop. Southampton are not Real Madrid though so to me this line is a little strange. The Saints don’t blow teams away meaning I’ll back the home team to put a shift in and give us at least good run for our money.
Swansea City v Sunderland (Swansea City -0.5 goals 2.25)
Swansea won at Southampton last weekend and after such a great win I’m surprised they are only half goal favourites for this game. I don’t understand the line so I’m going to stay away. Sunderland are such a dour side that although I’m keen to go overs on the goal line I just can’t!
Everton v Liverpool (Everton – 0.25 goals 2.5)
One win for Everton last weekend does not solve all their problems. Sturridge is back for the Reds and if Liverpool can calm down the feverish atmosphere that a derby day at Goodison brings then their extra quality should shine through against their rivals.
Burnley v West Bromwich Albion (Pk goals 2.25)
The Baggies are once again priced up as a better side than they are. They have managed to retain the services of star striker Danny Ings, at least till the Summer. At these prices I’m happy to take the home team on the Pk line if my hand was forced. Pulis will look for his team to keep it tight so I’m not looking to the goals line for any value.
Newcastle United v Stoke City (Newcastle -0.25 goals 2.25)
Recent form tells me this game should be priced on a Pk line. The away team have better players, management, and are more organised. Receiving a quarter goal I’m happy to be with the away team Potters and they are a live straight up play.
West Ham United v Manchester Utd (United -0.5 goals 2.5)
This could be the game of the weekend as I see the home team having a real go at the Reds. It could go either way but I do see some goals in this fixture. My prices had the goal line a quarter of a goal higher so the risk/reward on this 2.5 goal line is all stacked to the over.
