Daytona 500 Betting Primer
Will we see another longshot take the checkered flag with the elimination of tandem racing at Daytona? Our NASCAR insider says chalk may be the angle.
by Pied Piers of NASCAR
To bet on NASCAR you have to be a complete degenerate to (not really but my girlfriend believes that only betting the NFL is acceptable) however the Daytona 500 is kind of the exception. Like the Kentucky Derby or the Super Bowl, the Daytona 500 is a fan favorite and everybody loves to get their ‘picks’ in. Let this be your guide to help you navigate the world of betting on NASCAR’s greatest spectacle.
Like betting any other sport, wise guys look for value. In non-restrictor plate races there are typically 10-15 guys that have the equipment, team, and setup to win at each particular track. Daytona is a completely different animal since there are 25-30 guys (or girl) who could cross the line first, making it among the toughest races to handicap.
How does this translate to gambling? It means you can bet smaller amounts at higher odds because the racing is so unpredictable. Instead of betting 3 or 4 guys I recommend playing 6-8 guys that have the ability to win. This year we will see typical Daytona pack racing for the first 99 percent of the race and not the 2 car tandems that spoiled last year’s edition. Changes to the car will prevent the 2 car draft for more than a lap without water spewing from radiators. The key in 2012 is to be in that lead pack when lap 198 hits because then its time to find a drafting partner for the last 2 laps. However, getting into the lead cap requires one major ingredient: a good driver. I fully expect to see the best of the restrictor plate racers out front and I’d be shocked if any of them are pushing the rookies across the finish line first this year.
Restrictor plate racers worth a closer look :
Jimmie Johnson, Tony Stewart, Kevin Harvick, Dale Earnhardt Jr, Kurt Busch
When you’re looking for action on today’s race, bet a few guys you expect to run up front and include some long shots the same way you’d approach betting the derby. Maybe even ask your wife who she thinks will win for an outside perspective and to prove your point betting NASCAR is just as entertaining and acceptable as football. The key for all drivers is avoiding wrecks early and ‘riding around’ till it is go time. I actually like a few of the favorites since talent will be upfront and I expect those guys to be there to the bitter end. When it comes to matchups, look for drivers with similar talent that have plus payouts. Most matchups will be decided by wrecks or engine failure rather than driver ability, equipment, or setup. Tread lightly though folks, this race is not easily handicapped but it is fun as hell to watch.
Stories and drivers to watch for at Daytona:
Kasey Kahne
Kurt Busch
Danica Patrick
Tony Stewart
Dale Earnhardt Jr
