Marketwatch

BUY:

Only one game on tap for the Bulldogs this week as they make their inaugural trip to Provo amidst a major ATS losing skid.  Gonzaga has been hit or miss this season but like always finds themselves overvalued in WCC conference play.  BYU is the second “leg” of a three game road swing that’s key because the Bulldogs have a week between games.  They should be ready to embrace the hostile atmosphere and actually offer value as road underdogs against the Cougars.

UConn has been one of the most unpredictable teams in the country this year but I believe I have them figured out this week.  Notre Dame is coming off an eye-opening win over Syracuse which they followed up with an outright win as a sizable underdog at Seton Hall.  Uconn handled the Irish in their first meeting at Joyce and am pretty sure they can do it again based on huge match-up advantages at all the key positions.  After hosting Notre Dame, UConn travels to G-Town in what should be a tremendous matchup between two teams fighting for the league’s second seed.  I like Uconn in this spot if the Hoyas end up winning at Pittsburgh on Saturday but if Town enters off a loss, value will be diminished.

Has there been a team in the nation burying point spreads faster than San Diego State?  Now it looks as though they have two cupcakes on their plate this week but they catch CSU at exactly the wrong time; fresh off back to back drubbings at Wyoming and at New Mexico.  I don’t feel that I’ll have value here with the Rams, I know it!  The Aztecs 2nd game of the week will be a home tilt vs Boise State and we know to expect a lofty price tag for SDSU playing in their own building.  Look for Boise to keep this one within the number throughout the whole game building on a renewed sense of confidence off a near upset of UNLV.

Only one game for the Seminoles this week and they have been on an ATS roll taking no prisoners and embarrassing anyone in their path.  This won’t be rocket science but the law of averages say FSU can’t keep drumming every opponent so  look for this to be a grossly inflated line.  While GT isn’t a good side and won’t put fear into teams on a nightly basis, they should have plenty of wiggle room within a huge number.

Ahhh two road games this week for the Shockers who may become a road casualty in one of them despite highway dominance this season.  WSU has covered four in a row but now go on the road against very competent opponents with strong MVC home courts.  The Shockers are clearly elite within their conference but to get through this daunting road stretch unscathed ATS would be no small task.